#01Nov 12, 2026
cs.RO
ProtoVis-Nav: Prototypical Visual Imagination for Visual-Spatial Aligned UAV Navigation
Guangyuan Sui, Yunzhong Hou, Chi Harold Liu
Vision language navigation (VLN) is very challenging for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) since small errors in 3D motion prediction can lead to navigation errors and collisions. Unable to fathom execution outcomes in 3D environments, existing methods often struggle to predict accurate navigation waypoints from language instructions. To solve this, we introduce the Prototypical Visual Imagination framework, shortened as ProtoVis-Nav, which forces the model to imagine an outcome-associated local visual representation for the intended next UAV movement. Specifically, we predict feature prototypes and use their linear combination to estimate the visual feature of the target region. In this manner, the VLN model first imagines the local visual representation of the next intended location, and then uses predicted prototypes as context for generating the final action, promoting alignment between visual context and waypoint outputs. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the ProtoVis-Nav framework and show substantial improvements over existing baselines.
#02Nov 12, 2026
cs.LG
Towards a Theory of Learnability via Debate
Tosca Lechner, Vinayak Pathak, Sivan Sabato and 1 more
Debate has been recently proposed as a training protocol that is hoped to produce more aligned models even as model capabilities scale. The idea is that the human, instead of providing supervision in the form of labels, judges a debate between two models that compete to prove the correctness of opposite labels. It can be shown that functions of a much higher computational complexity can be correctly judged in this way, compared to the complexity of functions that can be directly evaluated using a computationally weak evaluator. This suggests that perhaps debate can be used to teach very complicated functions to models. However, previous work has largely ignored the fact that this is a training protocol, and simply analyzes the game being played between the two debaters for a known judge. We take the first steps towards understanding the learning problem implicit within the protocol, by formulating it as an online learning problem. We show that once we formulate the learning problem precisely, there are cases where the best way to learn given access to a judge is different from running an adversarial debate. This motivates us to define a cooperative version of the protocol, whose learnability we characterize using a combinatorial dimension. We also consider the possibility of the human judge being fallible and occasionally judging the debate incorrectly. We show that a small number of errors in judgement can lead to a large error in learning.
#03Nov 12, 2026
stat.ME
When Both Sides Adapt: The Challenges of Evaluating Interactive LLM Systems
Hannah Li
In interactive systems where users engage with LLMs, users are adaptive and, after observing LLM responses, can change their prompting strategy, as well as the type and difficulty of subsequent tasks. Thus model responses can influence the set of prompts on which the model is subsequently evaluated. We study the implications of this user adaptivity and prompt endogeneity for the evaluation of LLMs. We define two classes of estimands for comparing models: the common-distribution effect, which compares model performance on the same distribution of prompts, and the induced-distribution effect, which compares each model on the prompt distribution generated through user interaction. We show that offline benchmark evaluation and live A/B testing target different quantities, with the standard difference-in-means estimators for the two methods converging to the common-distribution effect and the induced-distribution effect, respectively. This distinction can affect decision-making: the two comparisons can rank models differently and lead to discrepancies in deployment recommendations. We characterize when such ranking reversals occur and provide a sufficient condition under which the rankings are guaranteed to agree. This result provides a practical heuristic for assessing whether offline evaluation is sufficient to reproduce the decision suggested by a live experiment. Third, we show, in a stylized linear model of interactions, that user adaptivity can increase variance in estimation. Finally, we discuss implications of user adaptivity for the interpretation of experiments and show that adaptivity creates a common mechanism leading to common evaluation challenges, such as reward hacking and novelty effects. Together, this work highlights the necessity of measuring both model performance as well as changes in the user behavior that the model induces.
#04Nov 12, 2026
stat.ML
Quantifying structural stability of transparent models for general insurance pricing
Félix Côté, Marie-Pier Côté
The short duration of general insurance contracts leads to rapid distributional shifts in the data, warranting regular model updates. This process may yield a post-update model that differs considerably from the pre-update model in both predictions and structure. Structural stability is upstream of predictive stability, yet existing structural stability metrics are mostly restricted to simple decision trees. Thus, we first introduce the notion of functional transparency, characterising models with a prediction function that can be expressed as a sum of univariate functions for main effects and bivariate functions for pairwise interactions. Then, we propose the Mean Squared Shape function distance, a metric to quantify the structural stability of functionally transparent models, which are particularly relevant in actuarial science. Using three public auto insurance datasets, we present a benchmark study to demonstrate the usefulness of our metric in identifying a stable and accurate transparent model. Generalised linear models with centred numerical covariates are stable, and explainable boosting machines (EBMs) offer a compromise between stability and performance. We also find that stabilisation strategies, such as sequential modelling and fixed hyperparameters, can substantially improve stability for both EBM and XGBoost models, with negligible impact on performance.
#05Nov 12, 2026
cs.CL
Goal Encoding in LLMs
Arnab Sen Sharma, Eric Todd, Sheridan Feucht and 7 more
We investigate whether and how LLMs encode goals: internal neural representations that precede and guide action, and that are flexible enough to be realized through many different execution paths. We construct a coding setting with multiple sub-tasks that allows us to evaluate goal-seeking behavior and the selection of sub-goals. In this setting, we localize an encoding of the next sub-goal in the outputs of a sparse set of attention heads. The same heads can be used to decode the LM's future actions in natural language (e.g., "I'm checking if a word is a palindrome"). We verify that this encoding is causal for next action and is plastic: transplanting it into a different environment, e.g., another programming language, triggers the same operation realized with a different sequence of tokens. The LM also sustains the encoding throughout the action's execution, which is puzzling because a transformer LM without recurrence cannot carry a state forward for more tokens than it has layers left. We propose that it does not need to. Under a non-recurrent goal-seeking (NRGS) account, the LM frequently re-reads the goal from the task specification, compares it with the progress visible in the growing context, and pursues what remains. We test the predictions of this account with targeted causal interventions.