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ML papers to read today.

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5 papers

#01Oct 21, 2026

cs.CV

Asking a Multimodal LLM Whether Someone Fell: Zero-Shot Screening of Low-Resolution Thermal Video in a Laboratory and an Occupied Home

Marcos Junca, Mauro Junca

Thermal cameras can watch over older people living alone without capturing faces, and multimodal large language models (LLMs) can judge a short video without task-specific training. We evaluate a production multimodal LLM, Gemini 3.8 Flash at temperature 0, as the decision stage of an event-triggered fall screener, used exactly as a deployed prototype uses it: one request per short thermal clip, with its sound track when there is one, and its predecessor Gemini 3.7 Flash on the same requests. On 438 staged falls and 563 non-fall windows that we located by hand in a public 32x24 thermal dataset, the deployed request called 69% of the held-out subjects' falls (67% over all subjects; bed falls excluded) and none of 499 non-fall windows, including people lying on the floor and getting up. Over 76 h of ordinary life in an occupied room, recorded at 160x120 with sound, it called none of 395 clips a fall (95% upper bound 1.2 false alarms per day) and caught 4 of the 9 staged falls the camera could see. One cautionary sentence in the prompt ("a person who goes out of view ... is not a fall") accounted for many of the misses: removing it raised sensitivity on the held-out subjects from 69% to 83% on 3.8 Flash and from 80% to 92% on Gemini 3.7 Flash, and in the home from 4 to 9 of the 9 visible falls, with no false call in ordinary living but at the price of calling deliberate lie-downs a fall. Sensitivity collapsed at 8x6 pixels (34%); identical requests disagreed on 4% of windows; and when the model called a fall, its explanation placed it within a second of the annotated landing 99% of the time. Two conventional detectors trained on the laboratory data caught nearly every held-out laboratory fall but raised 14.2 and 23.9 false alarms per day in the home. We release the frame-level fall annotations of the public dataset and every model answer on it.

#02Oct 21, 2026

cs.CV

CausalAlign: Causal Alignment of Video Generation Models for Consistent Ego-Motion

Kai Zhu, Yintianrun Zhang, Shuwei Jiang and 7 more

Diffusion-based video generation models (VGMs) can produce visually plausible videos, yet their camera ego-motion often drifts over long horizons. Camera ego-motion determines how the viewpoint changes between frames and is essential for maintaining consistent geometry and trajectories. To address this problem, we propose CausalAlign, a causal alignment framework with two components. First, we diagnose how precise ego motion is represented, used, and retained within VGMs using linear probes and causal interventions, revealing a rise-and-fall pattern during denoising. Second, we strengthen ego-motion state in VGM by aligning the representations at the identified layers to a 3D foundation model through delta-token space. This space encodes the changes between consecutive frames, allowing the alignment to focus on ego-motion dynamics rather than static scene content. With Wan2.2 fine-tuned on DL3DV and RealEstate10K, CausalAlign can largely improve motion accuracy, geometric consistency, and temporal smoothness, while preserving visual quality. For example, it improves geometric consistency by more than 20% relative to the base model. Moreover, with the fine-tuned VGM, CausalAlign improves the success rate of world action models (WAMs) by 10 points on mobile manipulation tasks of RoboCasa365 benchmark. Overall, CausalAlign improves ego-motion consistency in diffusion-based VGMs and yields noticeable gains in embodied models.

#03Oct 21, 2026

cs.CV

Plausible but Unimplantable: A Trustworthiness Audit of Shape Completion Foundation Models for Cranial Defect Reconstruction

Marek Wodzinski, Kamil Kwarciak, Daria Hemmerling and 1 more

A patient who has lost part of the skull vault needs an implant that fits the defect exactly, and such implants are still drawn by hand in CAD by specialists, which makes each case slow and expensive. The task can be considered as a shape completion problem, so pretrained completion models, and now the first shape completion foundation models, look like a way to remove that manual step. We audited three publicly released pretrained shape completion models, two of them foundation models, applied zero-shot to 239 cranial defects, some carved from public skull datasets and some real post-craniectomy cases. Each output was compared with simply returning the patient's own remaining bone, and tested for whether the predicted material could be placed without intersecting the bone that is still there. On the 210 carved defects none of the three improved on doing nothing, and on the 29 real cases only one did so beyond chance. Yet not one output, from any model in any configuration, was implantable: none managed both to stay clear of the bone the patient still has and to place more material than doing nothing, where a task-specific volumetric model, trained for this task and selected on these cases, was implantable on all but one. The output that most convincingly resembles a skull is no more placeable than the rest, and at these point densities implant thickness cannot be read off the emitted points at all, which is a property of the output representation rather than of any one model. On this evidence the shape completion foundation models we could obtain cannot be trusted and, used as released, are not usable in clinical practice. Substantial research towards trustworthy foundation models for shape completion is still needed.

#04Oct 21, 2026

cs.CV

Stochastic Nonlinearities Improve Uncertainty Estimation

Mohammad Sarhangzadeh, Amirreza M. Shebly, Doruk Oner

Reliable uncertainty estimation is important across visual recognition tasks, providing information about the confidence and reliability of model predictions. Many uncertainty estimation methods obtain predictive diversity through mechanisms that can suppress intermediate features, perturb the input, or require substantial additional computation. Stochastic activation functions, where network units randomly select between multiple nonlinearities during a forward pass, have previously been used to improve optimization behavior, mitigate limitations of fixed ReLU activations, and increase output diversity. In this work, we reframe stochastic activation switching as a lightweight mechanism for uncertainty estimation. The proposed method samples between nonlinear activation functions, inducing predictive diversity while keeping intermediate feature pathways active. This enables uncertainty estimation from a single trained model without the training cost of ensembles, task-specific uncertainty heads, or architectural redesign. We evaluate the proposed approach across classification, semantic segmentation, and out-of-distribution detection using convolutional and transformer-based architectures on diverse datasets. Across these settings, stochastic activation switching improves uncertainty quality while preserving competitive primary-task performance, showing that stochastic nonlinearities provide an effective and information-preserving source of predictive variation for visual recognition.

#05Oct 21, 2026

cs.CV

Revealing Hidden Failure Modes in Chest X-ray Classification via Spectral Domain Analysis

Samuel Halimi, Loic Themyr, Arnaud Abreu

Deep learning models for chest X-ray anomaly detection remain vulnerable to subtle distributional shifts (e.g., acquisition technique, patient-related factors, and preprocessing). Traditional error analysis often relies on semantic metadata or model embeddings, which can mask low-level signal variations that degrade performance. In this work, we propose a data-centric framework for automated failure mode discovery using spectral analysis. We project images into the frequency domain and extract a compact profile summarizing the distribution of signal energy across frequency bands. By performing unsupervised clustering on these spectral profiles, we demonstrate that model failures are not randomly distributed, but are strongly concentrated within specific spectral clusters. This method effectively isolates "blind spots", enabling the prediction of model reliability and the discovery of performance-degrading data slices without requiring ground-truth failure annotations.