#01Nov 5, 2026
cs.LG
A Hidden Markov Preference Model for Online Prediction of Adversary Actions
Angel Daruna, Michael Cogswell, Tixiao Shan and 3 more
A defender anticipating an attacker needs a probability distribution over the attacker's next action from information available before that action occurs. Two structures complicate this: the attacker's behavioral regime persists and can switch within an episode, and each action combines an operation with state-dependent arguments whose feasible values change over time. We capture both with a hidden Markov model whose latent state is the active regime and whose regime-conditioned action law is defined on a feasibility-masked tree of executable actions. The same likelihood forms the next-action distribution and updates the regime belief once the action is seen, and a partially observed prefix contributes its resolved local factors. Estimation separates into convex logistic fits that Baum-Welch reuses when regimes are unlabeled. We derive a reach-weighted nodewise KL expression for regime information, a sequence-wise log-loss bound for switching regime paths, and a uniform fallback guarantee. On the CAGE 2 cyber defense benchmark the filtered latent state is worth 0.8 nats per step, and after a controller switch the loss begins to fall in three steps against ten for a recurrent baseline.
#02Nov 5, 2026
cs.AI
StepBack: Step-Level Error-Localized Resampling for Efficient Test-Time Reasoning
Yang Ouyang, Jung-Eun Kim
Self-consistency (SC) is a widely used decoding strategy for improving chain-of-thought reasoning, but it requires sampling many complete reasoning trajectories with a preset budget. Its efficient variants reduce the cost mainly by stopping full-trajectory sampling early or distributing the number of samples across questions. In this paper, we propose StepBack, a step-level error-localized resampling method for efficient test-time reasoning. Given a small set of draft trajectories, StepBack localizes likely first error positions using lightweight signals and then resamples the detected error step and its suffix, followed by majority answer voting. Empirically, StepBack matches the accuracy of SC on average across seven mathematical reasoning and multi-hop QA benchmarks, while reducing token usage by up to 41.26%. In addition, by nature, StepBack can be combined with adaptive inference methods such as Adaptive Consistency, further improving their inference-time efficiency.
#03Nov 5, 2026
cs.CL
Label-Wording Augmentation in a Typed-Decision Encoder: Gains on Unfamiliar Words, Not on Abbreviations or Codes
Vladimir Beskorovainyi
Typed-decision models score options that the caller supplies at request time, so their accuracy depends on label wording that the model's developer does not control. We compare two releases of a 307M-parameter multilingual cross-encoder, Ru-Jev, trained on thirteen Russian-language tasks; the later release adds an augmentation that presents labels in several surface forms. Holding questions fixed and varying only how eighteen routing labels are worded, we evaluate ten label vocabularies, produced by three separate processes and checked for overlap with the training data, with five candidates per question and, for eight of them, also with eighteen. On held-out vocabularies made of ordinary or borrowed words (English-derived jargon, office slang, department names), the augmented release is more accurate in every setting, by up to 0.24. Eleven of these fourteen gains survive a Holm correction (slang with eighteen candidates and descriptive sentences with five do not), and for jargon on all labels the label-level interval excludes zero in both settings. On abbreviations and opaque codes it gives no usable gain: on abbreviations it is not better, and worse on the clean slice, and on opaque codes both releases stay at or below chance once labels related to training options are removed. In most cells where accuracy rises, the risk-coverage area falls, but with eighteen candidates confident errors rise on jargon and slang. On two datasets neither release saw, accuracy moves by -8.4 and +5.6 points. We also report four evaluation hazards from comparing the two releases.
#04Nov 5, 2026
cs.AI
RM-VLM: From Natural-Language Task Descriptions to Vision-Grounded Reward Machines
Roko Parac, Christos Ziakas, Leo Ardon and 1 more
Reward machines (RMs) have been proposed as a reward formulation in reinforcement learning (RL) to capture non-Markovian tasks where credit assignment depends on history. By representing reward functions as automata, RMs expose the task's temporal structure and allow such rewards to be handled within a Markovian framework. However, they assume a labelling function, a proposition-grounding oracle for observations, which must be manually engineered for each environment, limiting their wider applicability. In this work, we address this limitation by proposing RM-VLM, a novel approach in which a large language model (LLM) generates an RM from a natural-language task description, and a vision-language model (VLM) acts as the labelling function, grounding the RM's propositions over image-based observations during RM-guided policy learning. A VLM-based value function estimator is used to assess the agent's progress towards each RM transition and derive a dense reward signal. We evaluate RM-VLM on three domains covering non-Markovian grid-world navigation, robotic manipulation, and 3D object collection. Our experimental results show that RM-VLM consistently achieves higher task success rates than existing VLM-based reward methods across all tested domains.
#05Nov 5, 2026
cs.RO
SHORE: Stability-Hybrid On-Policy Reinforcement Learning for Online Bin Packing
Chang Shi, Ann Majewicz Fey
Online 3D bin packing with a processing buffer requires choosing which box to pack, its orientation, and its placement while keeping the stack stable under unknown future arrivals. A collapse ends the episode and forfeits the remaining volume. Existing methods use geometric rules or hard stability masks, limiting how risk can influence the joint choice of box, orientation, and placement. We propose Stability-Hybrid On-Policy Reinforcement Learning (SHORE), which combines a learned stability probability of a placement with an on-policy estimate of its return conditional on stability. A 3D U-Net learns stability from executed outcomes and simulated alternatives, revealing outcomes of actions underrepresented in early rollouts. A discrete on-policy actor--critic uses stability predictions in both its action values and policy prior, with gates that limit the effect of an untrained or changing model. In deployment, SHORE does not require additional search or simulation overhead. In Isaac Gym, SHORE reaches 73\% space utilization by 0.4M environment steps, while the same learner without stability modeling reaches that level at about 1M. On the expanded 60-box set, SHORE achieves 0.734 space utilization versus 0.588 for the GOPT state-of-the-art baseline, with a higher placement-failure frequency (1.03\% vs. 0.63\%), trading more risk for greater packed volume. The results show faster learning and higher utilization on the more demanding realistic box arrival set. Ablations suggest that simulated alternatives provide useful early supervision, while executed outcomes alone sustain later performance. We also demonstrate the method on a real robot to verify the simplicity of integrating the method to real bin packing pipelines.