#01Oct 22, 2026
cs.CV
SpectralCanary: Embarrassingly Simple Low-Frequency Traces for T2I Dataset-Use Auditing
Sy-Tuyen Ho, Anirudh Satheesh, Soham Chawathe and 4 more
Auditing whether a text-to-image (T2I) model was fine-tuned on a particular image collection is difficult: a model can absorb collection-level visual characteristics without reproducing training images. Proactive dataset-use auditing plants a shared signal in a dataset before release, then later checks whether that signal appears in a suspect model's generated outputs. Existing approaches often trade off verifiability, fidelity, robustness, and deployability. We introduce $\textbf{SpectralCanary}$, which uses a smooth low-pass mask to blend a fixed canary image into every collection image while leaving captions unchanged and requiring neither auxiliary generation nor per-image optimization. A lightweight verifier detects the transferred signal in suspect-model outputs. Across eight tests on the Pokemon dataset and three realistic data transformations, spanning two architectures families, SpectralCanary achieves the highest average per-generation TPR@$1\%$ FPR ($91.1\%$) and fixed threshold model-level accuracy using 30 generations ($94.8\%$) among the evaluated methods. Across five datasets spanning artistic, medical, satellite, and fashion domains with SD3.5, SpectralCanary averages $92.4\%$ per-generation TPR@$1\%$ FPR while preserving the released images (SSIM $0.989$, LPIPS $0.022$) with a near-zero mean change FID (mean $Δ$FID $0.05$) across datasets. Matched-energy ablations on Pokemon and ROCOv2 support our design choice, low-frequency placement transfers more reliably compared to mid/high-frequency placement. Under the evaluated adaptive attacks, the most effective removal requires aggressive modification and incurs more than $25$ $Δ$FID points. These results identify low-frequency visual signals as effective carriers for collection-level T2I audit traces.
#02Oct 22, 2026
cs.LG
Action Learning for Scientific Simulations
Sarah Liaw, Yuanqi Du, Yilun Du
Understanding and controlling how systems evolve is central to science and engineering, where many problems require reasoning about complete trajectories. Existing approaches typically learn local dynamics or generate trajectories, but objectives constructed from individual transitions can miss dependencies across time, while generative models do not necessarily provide a tractable objective for evaluating and optimizing arbitrary paths. We study $\textit{action learning}$, the problem of recovering a stochastic action from trajectory observations, yielding a common objective for reasoning about dynamical systems. We introduce $\textbf{LEAP}$ ($\textbf{L}$earned $\textbf{E}$nergy on $\textbf{A}$ction $\textbf{P}$aths), which anchors the unknown action to a tractable reference process and learns the remaining correction by comparing observed trajectories with reference trajectories. This construction yields a differentiable objective on path space that can capture both local dynamical structure and nonadditive dependencies across time. Once learned, the same action can be flexibly reused for path ranking and inference, mechanism steering, constrained optimization and sampling. Across stochastic physical systems, many-body orbital dynamics and molecular simulations, LEAP recovers underlying dynamics, captures dependencies across time and enables transfer across inference objectives and physical conditions. We show that $\textit{action learning}$ is a promising framework for turning trajectory observations into reusable objectives for scientific inference and control.
#03Oct 22, 2026
stat.ML
Nonparametric autoregressive estimation of probability distributions with parallel gradient boosting
Rémy Chapelle
Nonparametric estimation of joint probability distributions is a core problem in statistics, which is notoriously challenging with high-dimensional data. Such challenges also arise with conditional distribution estimation and have led to flexible algorithms that aim to tackle the ''curse of dimensionality'' by exploiting predictive structures of lower dimension than the ambient space. In this paper, we study the use of such conditional distribution estimators to estimate joint distributions by factorizing the latter in an ''autoregressive'' way. We show that for loss functions satisfying a subadditivity property, bounds on the convergence rate of an autoregressive estimator can be derived from bounds on the convergence rate of the conditional distribution estimators. These bounds relate the difficulty of estimating the joint distribution to that of estimating the most challenging factor in the autoregressive factorization. When the conditional estimators adapt to sparsity in their conditioning sets, we characterize this difficulty through variable elimination in an undirected dependence graph. This allows bounding the rates of convergence by quantities related to the sparsity of the graph, and provides an additional motivation for the autoregressive approach. We then evaluate the practical performance of an autoregressive estimator based on parallel gradient boosting, a flexible nonparametric method for estimating conditional distributions. The estimator demonstrates competitive estimation performance on various simulated and real datasets, even without optimizing the factorization order. Together, these results support nonparametric autoregressive estimation as a practical approach to flexible joint distribution estimation.
#04Oct 22, 2026
math.OC
Direct Inference on Admissible Sets (Diona)
Lorenzo Sabug, Eric Kerrigan
We propose a new regression method named Direct Inference on Admissible Sets (Diona) that directly uses samples to estimate the state and its derivatives at a query point, along with their admissible bounds, without long global training. By casting the values and derivatives at the query and neighbouring samples as latent variables in a constrained optimisation problem, the burden of long training loops becomes one of on-demand local solves. We establish Diona's theoretical properties including finite-sample coverage and, in the noiseless case, convergence to the true state and derivatives under dense sampling. In a nonlinear regression benchmark on six functions of three to eight dimensions, Diona was more accurate than a Gaussian process (GP) on noiseless data especially with denser data sets. Furthermore, as with GP, it produced uncertainty bounds that contained the true value at more than 95% of query points in four functions. Diona's time to a first prediction after a data set update was three to four orders of magnitude shorter than that of the GP, and two to three orders shorter than that of a neural network, which was more accurate but offers no uncertainty quantification. This low latency is paid for by on-demand predictions, so this latency advantage applies when relatively few predictions are needed between data updates.
#05Oct 22, 2026
cs.LG
Same Luck, Different Choice: Twin-World Credit Assignment for Agentic Reinforcement Learning
Zeropy Surio, Tobias Engel, Mei-Lin Chou and 2 more
Agentic reinforcement learning rewards a complete episode, yet the policy needs credit for every decision inside it. Counterfactual branching estimates this credit by re-running the episode after an alternative decision, but the branch draws its sampling noise independently of the factual episode, so the outcome difference mixes the effect of the decision with the luck of everything that follows. We observe that in agentic search the retriever, the corpus, and the grader are deterministic, so an episode is a deterministic function of the policy's decisions and its sampling noise. Twin worlds are therefore realizable: the same noise, a different decision. We introduce TWICE (TWIn-world Credit Estimation), which keys the Gumbel noise of every token by turn and line, rolls out counterfactual twins that inherit the factual episode's downstream noise, and turns their paired outcome differences into turn-level advantages for policy-gradient updates on actor-sampled trajectories; only the actor is deployed. Twin credit is unbiased for any coupling quality, its variance is that of an independent counterfactual scaled by $1-ρ$, where $ρ$ is the twins' outcome correlation, and under coupling the number of rollouts needed to resolve an advantage of size $Δ$ falls from $Θ(Δ^{-2})$ to $Θ(Δ^{-1})$. A square-root rule spends the twin budget where outcomes are predicted to disagree per unit cost. On seven question-answering benchmarks, TWICE improves the average exact match of GRPO by 5.3 and 4.5 points on Qwen2.5-3B and 7B, outperforms tree-search and counterfactual-branching baselines, and uses 68% fewer auxiliary tokens than VinePPO.