#01Nov 6, 2026
cs.LG
The Cost of Coverage: Conformalising Native Forecast Uncertainty for GB Wind Power
Carl Somers
Uncertainty bands on wind forecasts help inform reserve sizing and commitments, but often fail to deliver their stated coverage. We apply conformal prediction to native bands to see what it adds and what it costs, comparing six forecasters, from ARIMA to a tabular foundation model, at two wind farms in Great Britain (GB) under operational conditions. We show that calibration repairs empirical marginal coverage with little or no Winkler Score penalty, but this apparent success conceals under-coverage in high winds. Calibrating by forecast wind regime turns marginal coverage into regime-level coverage, cutting day-ahead out-of-band volume in high winds by over 40% relative to pooled calibration while narrowing bands overall.
#02Nov 6, 2026
cs.LG
Scaling Graph Similarity Learning with Graph Neural Networks
Ahmet Tüzen, Helge Langseth, Kjetil Nørvåg
Graph similarity computation is an important task in graph mining with many real-world applications, such as chemical compound analysis, program dependence comparison, and social network analysis. The problem is computationally challenging: Graph Edit Distance (GED) and Maximum Common Subgraph (MCS), which quantify the distance between graphs and identify their largest shared subgraph, respectively, are NP-hard to compute exactly. To address these computational challenges, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have been applied to this problem. However, existing GNN-based approaches have primarily focused on small-scale graph datasets, while scalability to larger scales remains underexplored. In this work, we propose FiLSim, a scalable GNN-based framework, and investigate whether a simplified GNN pipeline can maintain competitive performance on standard benchmarks while scaling to large graphs. We additionally propose a sequential graph-editing strategy to construct large-scale graph datasets with reliable GED labels to evaluate scalability. The proposed framework is evaluated on four benchmark datasets and four newly created large-scale datasets, demonstrating its effectiveness and scalability. FiLSim remains accurate on graphs with more than 150{,}000 nodes, where the baseline methods run out of memory or fail to learn, and scores all test pairs within seconds on a single GPU.
#03Nov 6, 2026
cs.LG
On the (non-)closedness of the set of ReLU networks
Eloi Martinet, Leon Bungert
We prove that the set $\mathcal{N}_N$ of ReLU networks with one hidden layer and at most $N\in\mathbb N$ neurons is weakly closed in $W^{1,p}(Ω)$, for a bounded connected open set $Ω\subset\mathbb R^d$. Consequently, every coercive, weakly lower semicontinuous energy on this space attains its minimum over $\mathcal{N}_N$. This covers the Deep Ritz method with convex integrands, Sobolev training and Lipschitz learning. Moreover, as the weight decay parameter tends to zero, minimizers of the regularized problem converge, up to subsequences, to minimizers with minimal parameter norm. We also prove that the set of ReLU networks with two hidden layers of bounded widths is not closed in $W^{1,p}(Ω)$ or in $C(\overlineΩ)$. This disproves a conjecture of Petersen, Raslan and Voigtlaender.
#04Nov 6, 2026
cs.LG
Fifty-Two Shades of Pig: What the UCR Archive Really Asks Classifiers to Do
Omar Swelam, Jaris Küken, Shi Bin Hoo and 2 more
The pigs were bleeding. That was the point of the experiment: could airway pressure reveal hemorrhage before it became critical? In the UCR Time Series Classification Archive, the de facto benchmark for Time Series Classification (TSC), the same recordings ask a different question: "which of 52 pigs produced this trace?". The dataset PigAirwayPressure is not an outlier. Although the archive is the standard benchmark, whether its tasks resemble the problems TSC is meant to solve has rarely been examined. We find that several datasets are repurposed from their original task, built from toy setups, or have flawed test splits. We further question how representative the archive's ordered non-temporal sequences (e.g. spectra, shape outlines) are of real TSC, and the potential downsides from the decomposition of multivariate problems. Our findings call for more careful interpretation of archive-wide scores and greater attention to deployment-relevant evaluation. The audit is at https://github.com/automl/ucr-provenance-audit.
#05Nov 6, 2026
cs.LG
Computer-Use Agents Are Embodied Generalists
Pranjal Aggarwal, Sean Welleck
In many areas of AI, general-purpose models have increasingly replaced handcrafted methods and specialized architectures. We argue that embodied AI is poised for a similar shift. Our key claim is that embodied tasks can be formulated as interaction with digital software. Specifically, we build software that renders an agent's view of a physical environment on a screen and provides controls for acting in it. A computer-use agent (CUA) can then perform embodied tasks through the same screenshots and keyboard and mouse actions that it uses to operate ordinary software. Using a single CUA design and changing only the software, our entries win first-, second-, third-, and sixth-place prizes across four ECCV workshop competitions, without any competition-specific agent tuning. These results suggest that the skills CUAs learn on software, such as visual grounding, precise clicking, and exploration, already carry over to embodied tasks, giving CUAs a far broader scope in embodied AI than previously realized. We therefore advocate that computer-use agents can be embodied generalists. Further, we advocate that, by following the training strategy that made computer-use agents general, embodied AI can converge on a single general model as well, ushering in a new era of general embodied AI. Website: https://pranjal2041.github.io/cua-embodied