#01Nov 6, 2026
cs.AI
On the Reliability of Majority-Vote Pseudo-Labels in Test-Time Reinforcement Learning
Haoyu Wang, Ru Wang, Yuanyuan Wang and 2 more
Test-time reinforcement learning (TTRL) adapts pretrained language models to unlabeled target-domain data using self-generated pseudo-labels, whose reliability remains poorly understood. We analyze majority-vote supervision for TTRL with online Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) and decompose its error into population-majority bias and prompt-dependent finite-rollout variation. Because population-majority bias is generally unidentifiable without external supervision, we focus on mitigating the downstream effects of finite-rollout variation. We propose \emph{Prompt-Conditional Distributionally Robust DPO (PC-Dr.DPO)}, which conditions within-prompt robust reweighting on observed vote reliability to make updates from sampling-sensitive prompts more conservative. We further introduce a cache-based mechanism to reduce self-supervised forgetting during online adaptation. Across six mathematical and knowledge-intensive reasoning benchmarks and five model backbones, PC-Dr.DPO matches or outperforms the strongest TTRL baseline in 24 of 30 settings.
#02Nov 6, 2026
cs.CV
Video-Coder: Reinforcing Agentic Coding for Video Generation
Chaoyang Wang, Sicheng Gao, Junan Hu and 7 more
Recent years have witnessed remarkable progress in video generation in terms of visual quality and temporal consistency. However, generating videos with precise spatial structure, coherent motion dynamics, and controllable scene composition remains challenging. In this paper, we introduce Video-Coder, the first attempt to train a code-driven video generation agent, which autonomously writes and executes code to construct a dynamic 3D scene (Draft Video) that provides structure and motion signals to downstream video generators. To support this paradigm, we design a dedicated data pipeline and curate two high-quality datasets, Video-Coder-SFT-6k and Video-Coder-RL-2k, which contain diverse prompts and ground-truth reference videos. We further develop the Video- Coder Harness, a unified interactive environment integrating code execution, 3D scene rendering, and execution feedback for agent training and inference. We then train Video-Coder with SFT fol- lowed by harness-native agentic reinforcement learning with dual reward feedback, which combines execution-based and video-based rewards. Additionally, we design an annealing training strategy that gradually reduces the execution reward over time, allowing the model to rely more on the video reward in the later training stages. Experiments show that Video-Coder achieves significant gains, improving Minimax-H3 by approximately 7 points on PhyGenBench and 24 points on VBench-2.0. We hope this work can serve as an open foundation for coding agents in video generation, and we fully open-source our data, models, and code
#03Nov 6, 2026
cs.RO
On Agentic Manipulation Policies
Chen Chen, Omid Bagherieh, Naveen Nikamanth Appiah Balaji and 10 more
Recent work on robot manipulation has focused on specialist policies trained on demonstrations. We show that generalist AI models can control manipulators more reliably than specialist policies such as vision-language-action models (VLAs) and world-action models (WAMs). We systematically analyze agentic manipulation policies (AMPs), in which a generalist AI model commands the manipulator directly, adapting its actions as the task unfolds. We present AMP1, a reference harness that runs unchanged across single-arm, bimanual, and mobile manipulation. AMP1 achieves state-of-the-art results on the RoboLab-120 and CaP-Gym benchmarks, with no demonstrations or task-specific training. On RoboLab-120, AMP1 reaches an 85.6\% success rate zero-shot, compared to 49.2\% and 42.9\% for leading VLA and WAM policies. The agent succeeds zero-shot in 104 of 108 real-world trials spanning twelve tasks and three robot instances, reducing failure rates by 20x and 15x relative to strong VLA and WAM baselines. The basic harness supplies no grasping, pushing, or placing skills; the agent develops its own strategies, such as searching for hidden objects, using objects as tools, and calibrating its cameras. With the addition of a persistent memory store, the agent can also learn from experience: an augmented harness with a memory representation that is carried across episodes lowers the failure rate on RoboDojo bimanual manipulation tasks by 4.6x relative to zero-shot deployment. Our analysis suggests that AMPs are substantially more general and robust than specialist manipulation policies, providing a promising foundation for robot manipulation.
#04Nov 6, 2026
cs.CV
BEV3SR: Evidence-Aware 3D Spatial Reasoning from Video
Fan Zhu, Rui Yu
3D spatial reasoning from video remains challenging for VLMs because videos provide sequential, view-local observations rather than persistent metric scene records. Many questions must be answered in a query-specified perspective rather than the observed camera viewpoint, and prompting with a fixed set of RGB views may miss sparse or occluded visual cues. To address these gaps, we introduce BEV3SR, a training-free and backbone-agnostic framework for RGB-D videos with camera parameters. BEV3SR turns video observations into queryable metric bird's-eye-view (BEV) scene memory and formalizes each query into an evidence-aware spatial task. The Spatial Task Formalizer specifies the query's reference frame, spatial constraints, objective, and evidence requirement. The evidence requirement determines the appropriate reasoning pathway. A query treated as requiring geometric evidence is handled by the Geometric Reasoner, which deterministically computes the answer using the metric BEV records in the query-specified reference frame. Otherwise, a query treated as requiring visual evidence is passed to the Visual Evidence Aligner, which uses BEV-indexed object records and their associated supporting views to retrieve object-consistent and scene-context RGB frames for VLM grounding. Within a standard 16-frame budget, BEV3SR consistently improves different VLM backbones across multiple 3D scene QA benchmarks, delivering large gains on spatially intensive questions and significant improvements on open-ended scene QA. These results demonstrate that BEV3SR offers an effective, efficient, and interpretable framework for explicit 3D spatial reasoning from video.
#05Nov 6, 2026
cs.LG
The Cost of Coverage: Conformalising Native Forecast Uncertainty for GB Wind Power
Carl Somers
Uncertainty bands on wind forecasts help inform reserve sizing and commitments, but often fail to deliver their stated coverage. We apply conformal prediction to native bands to see what it adds and what it costs, comparing six forecasters, from ARIMA to a tabular foundation model, at two wind farms in Great Britain (GB) under operational conditions. We show that calibration repairs empirical marginal coverage with little or no Winkler Score penalty, but this apparent success conceals under-coverage in high winds. Calibrating by forecast wind regime turns marginal coverage into regime-level coverage, cutting day-ahead out-of-band volume in high winds by over 40% relative to pooled calibration while narrowing bands overall.