#01Oct 22, 2026
cs.LG
CRANE: Post-Hoc Counterfactual Retrieval for Multimodal Classifiers
Franco Rugolon, Ioanna Miliou, Panagiotis Papapetrou
Counterfactual explanation methods have been introduced for unimodal settings, with dedicated frameworks for tabular, timeseries, text, and image data, yet no post-hoc method has been designed for classifiers that learn from multimodal inputs. Existing explainability methods for multimodal classifiers apply modality-specific attribution independently to each input, which fails to yield coherent explanations and does not transfer to arbitrary pre-trained multimodal architectures. To address these shortcomings, we present CRANE (Counterfactual Retrieval via Agnostic Nearest-neighbour Explanations), the first post-hoc, model-agnostic framework for nearest-neighbour multimodal counterfactual generation that retrieves real training examples from the target class as candidate explanations, ensuring plausibility by construction. Across four heterogeneous datasets and three fusion strategies, we show that Multimodal Consensus Retrieval (MC-R), which intersects per-modality neighbour sets to identify instances jointly close to the query in every modality, emerges as the strongest multimodal strategy, achieving the best or joint-best outcome on three of four datasets while grounding every explanation in the joint training distribution. Unimodal strategies remain competitive when a single modality dominates the decision boundary.
#02Oct 22, 2026
cs.AI
Simulated Control Evals
Jeffrey Olmo, David Zhang, Tyler Tracy
Control evaluations measure whether safeguards can prevent an AI model from causing undesired outcomes even when it is intentionally trying to do so. These evaluations typically use purpose-built control settings and extrapolate their results to a model's deployment. However, the effectiveness of safeguards in deployment can depend on features of environments and tasks that control settings do not represent. To broaden where control evaluations can be run, we introduce simulated control evaluations (SCEs), which use a language model to simulate tool responses in place of an environment. We evaluate SCEs on LinuxArena, where execution provides ground-truth outcomes. We compare SCE prediction errors with those from a separate control setting, BashArena, and with variation in control metrics within LinuxArena. For independently sampled evaluation and deployment task sets, SCEs predict safety with a root mean squared error of 3.6 percentage points across five monitors at a 5% audit budget, compared with 10.1 for BashArena. SCEs closely reproduce distributions of attack strategies, attacker reasoning, and monitor reasoning, with over tenfold lower KL divergence from execution than BashArena. SCEs explain 78-85% of the between-environment variance in attack success, monitor scores, and safety. This accuracy is sample efficient: SCEs predict safety with less error than BashArena using fewer than 5% as many task-pair draws as the deployment task set. Strategies discovered through simulation also improve monitor performance on held-out LinuxArena attacks, outperforming BashArena and approximately matching improvement from executed strategies. These results suggest that deployment-specific SCEs can be more predictive than control evaluations executed in separate control settings.
#03Oct 22, 2026
cs.LG
METTA: Memory-Enhanced Test-Time Adaptation for Meta-Reinforcement Learning
Ali Najar, Hosein Hasani, Amir Kooshan Fattah and 2 more
Meta-reinforcement learning aims to train agents that adapt quickly to unseen tasks from limited interaction, but this requires representing task evidence over long interaction histories. Classical recurrent agents compress experience into hidden states, while transformer-based agents retrieve from past trajectories at quadratic memory and computation cost. In this work, we propose Memory-Enhanced Test-Time Adaptation (METTA) for meta-reinforcement learning. It decomposes the fast adaptation phase into two temporal scales: a causal neural memory performs fine-grained within-episode adaptation with linear sequence complexity, while compact episode-level summaries support long-range cross-episode task inference without attending over the full interaction history. Moreover, equipping agents with neural memory provides sufficient expressive capacity and test-time training capability, enabling effective adaptation to unseen held-out tasks and task families at meta-test time. On unseen held-out Meta-World ML10/45 test environments, METTA achieves a success rate over $50\%$ while maintaining a low training budget and short wall-clock time. On long-context sparse-reward PointMaze tasks, it outperforms transformer-based baselines by exhibiting more structured exploration behavior. These results show that METTA provides an efficient path toward more adaptive and scalable long-context meta-RL.
#04Oct 22, 2026
cs.LG
Cost-Aware Abstention for LLM-Based IT Ticket Classification
Sachin Gupta
Wrong automatic routing of an IT support ticket can cost more than human triage. We evaluate cost-aware abstention as an offline, cost-conditional readiness assessment: select a routing policy on calibration data under explicit costs, then evaluate that frozen policy once on held-out test data. On a public 47,837-ticket, eight-class corpus, we compare four trained non-LLM classifiers with four large language models under zero- and few-shot prompting. Under the illustrative cost model (c_ok, c_triage, c_wrong) = (0, 1, 5), TF-IDF with logistic regression and a threshold of 0.60 selected on calibration reduces test cost from 0.763 to 0.472, a 38.1% relative reduction (paired ratio-bootstrap 95% CI [35.7%, 40.4%]), while lowering wrong routes from 15.3% to 3.5%. Frozen calibration-selected policies also beat both always-route and always-defer on held-out test data in 14 of 16 settings in a post-hoc cost-parameter analysis. The strongest prompted configuration reaches 0.477 accuracy on a stratified 1,000-ticket test subset, versus 0.879 for fine-tuned DistilBERT on the same tickets. Isotonic lowers expected calibration error without reliably improving discrimination: GPT-4o-mini few-shot has one confidence value before and after recalibration and correctness AUROC 0.500. We therefore report correctness AUROC and tie-aware risk-coverage area alongside ECE. At the analytically derived break-even probability 0.80, seven prompted configurations defer all tickets; Haiku few-shot routes only 19/1,000. An LLM-only agreement control and margin/entropy rejection baselines further separate calibration from discrimination. The findings are scoped to this dataset, prompt design, model endpoints, and illustrative costs; the work is an evaluation framework, not a new abstention algorithm or universal deployment certification.
#05Oct 22, 2026
cs.AI
Direct Pass@$k$ Optimization for Thought Pruning: Balancing Quality and Diversity in Test-Time Reasoning
Mahdi Salmani, Adel Javanmard, Devansh Gupta and 1 more
Test-time scaling has emerged as a key inference strategy for reasoning models, where a model generates a large number of candidate solutions in the hope of finding at least one correct solution. Running all candidate solutions to completion can be computationally demanding, so recent work prunes the candidate pool after generating only a short prefix, committing further computation only to the surviving candidates. Existing pruning strategies divide broadly into two categories: Quality-based methods assign a score to each partial solution and discard those predicted to ultimately lead to an incorrect final solution, while diversity-based methods select partial solutions that follow different reasoning trajectories and are therefore likely to cover different final solutions. The tension between these two objectives is an instance of exploration versus exploitation, yet little to no prior work on pruning exposes this trade-off directly, let alone optimizes it. In this paper, we introduce a pruning procedure that addresses this trade-off directly by optimizing pass@$k$ over the selected solution pool. In particular, it chooses the pool to maximize the probability that at least one of its partial solutions, when continued to completion, yields a correct answer. Because this objective simultaneously rewards high-quality partial solutions and penalizes redundancy among them, quality and diversity are naturally balanced by the criterion itself rather than through separate ad-hoc design choices. On eight open-weight reasoning models, our method outperforms existing quality-based and diversity-based pruning strategies. The gains are particularly pronounced when the pruning procedure keeps a moderate number of partial solutions for continued generation, highlighting the value of directly balancing quality and diversity during pruning.