#01Nov 4, 2026
cs.CL
Ranking Agreement Does Not Reveal Paragraph-Edit Agreement in Two Released Paper Acceptance Predictors
Shaoliang Yang, Jun Wang
A fast acceptance classifier could select revisions for a slower evaluator. We ask whether agreement on existing papers supports that use. We compare a classifier of word and document features with two released text-only acceptance predictors fine-tuned from the same language model with three billion parameters. For 198 papers from the International Conference on Learning Representations, we compare model rankings of the original papers and of paragraph rewrites screened automatically for unchanged facts, claim strength, and attribution. The classifier ranks original papers closely with one predictor and moderately with the other, but shows no detectable agreement with either on which rewrites raise scores. The tests specified in advance used reduced numerical precision. Rounding error dominated the small score responses. We therefore rescored the released weights in full 32-bit precision as a post hoc check; edit agreement remained near zero. At this precision, when each predictor chooses among five rewrites per paper, its average raw score is under two points out of 100 higher than with random choice. The evidence covers presentation rewrites and two open predictors from one family; transfer to costly evaluators remains untested. Revision selectors should therefore be checked against the intended evaluator on the revisions they rank.
#02Nov 4, 2026
cs.LG
Context--Answer Metamodels: Forecasting LLM Activations Before the First Answer Token
Tommy He, Thomas Jiralerspong
Under stochastic decoding, a single context can elicit many different answers from a language model. Characterizing this variation typically requires many expensive autoregressive rollouts, each revealing only one realization. We ask whether the activations produced while reading the context can directly forecast the model's rollout activations. We train context--answer metamodels that map a context activation sequence to point or distribution forecasts of mean-pooled answer activations. We find that (i) the four metamodel families we study forecast mean-pooled answer activations with high fidelity, and the distribution metamodels also capture rollout variability; (ii) performance improves as the training set grows to 500,000 prompts, and the metamodels generalize zero-shot to out-of-domain datasets; (iii) their forecasts retain behavior-predictive signal; and (iv) context activations from Qwen2.5 predict mean-pooled answer activations from Qwen3.5 and Gemma 4, suggesting that activation forecasts can transfer across models. Together, these results suggest that context activation traces can support scalable forecasts of behaviors in LLM answers before the first answer token is generated.
#03Nov 4, 2026
cs.RO
Perceptive Humanoid Motion from Simulation
Siyuan Hu, Abulikemu Abuduweili, Yue Meng and 5 more
Humanoid robots have the potential to automate a wide range of physical tasks. Progress toward generalist humanoid autonomy, however, remains constrained by a data bottleneck: mapping pixels and free-form language to low-level joint commands requires paired supervision, and no corpus of such data exists at sufficiently large scale. Some approaches rely on human teleoperation and wearable capture devices, which require at least an hour of human time to produce an hour of data. We present HALO, a humanoid autonomy system powered by a pipeline that synthesizes vision-language-motion data across a thousand procedurally generated homes. The corpus scales with compute rather than human labor. HALO acquires a repertoire of physical skills, including sitting on chairs, navigating to named objects, stepping sideways through half-open doors, crouching and crawling beneath tables, and pushing boxes. It orchestrates these skills to solve composite, long-horizon tasks. Without ever seeing a real home during training, HALO transfers zero-shot to the physical world, achieving a 91% success rate across 360 trials in six unmapped real-world environments. See https://apple-aiml-research.github.io/ml-halo/ for code and videos.
#04Nov 4, 2026
cs.AR
Enabling AWS Cloud FPGA Development Using High-Level Vitis HLS
David Rostcheck
We present a toolchain for development of ML models on AWS EC2 F2 cloud FPGA infrastructure from high-level language, implementing a complete Vitis HLS to HDK bridge to AFI workflow that has been absent from the academic literature despite eight years of AWS FPGA availability. We introduce a four-level methodology (FP32 PyTorch, bit-accurate quantized Python, HLS C-simulation, physical FPGA) to aid in localizing errors, including FPGA-specific circuit errors. Together these tools allow coding agents to effectively implement FPGA designs from user directions, testing and debugging as needed. We document the deployment workflow, timing closure strategies, and practical HLS engineering decisions that proved crucial. We validate using TinyBERT fine-tuned for address Named Entity Recognition, implementing the embedding layer and the first of four encoder layers on the FPGA hardware. Our implementation streams weights from host DRAM, yielding poor performance compared to CPU/GPU implementations; we discuss forward paths.
#05Nov 4, 2026
math.ST
Fundamental Limits of Coherent Imaging in The Presence of Atmospheric Turbulence
Songbin Liu, Hanyu Yang, Junren Chen and 1 more
We study the fundamental limits of jointly estimating the signal amplitude and the atmospheric phase distortion in complex-valued multi-look coherent imaging, where the measurements are corrupted by multiplicative speckle and additive Gaussian noise, all looks share a known Gaussian sensing matrix, and both parameters belong to structured classes. By analyzing a constrained maximum likelihood estimator, we establish an upper bound on the joint minimax risk that holds uniformly over the admissible parameter classes, while oracle reductions and Fano-type arguments yield worst-case lower bounds over the admissible parameter classes. These results quantify the effects of structural complexity, signal and measurement dimensions, the number of looks, and the noise level, and establish matching minimax rates in several settings, with a remaining gap for phase estimation at low noise when the measurement dimension exceeds the signal dimension. We also construct a two-stage estimator for signal recovery under arbitrary diagonal sign distortions in the real-valued analogue. Under additional conditions, it recovers the signs up to a global sign with high probability and yields a uniform signal risk bound without a distortion-complexity term. Numerical experiments illustrate the dependence of the joint, signal, and phase errors on the model parameters and provide further support for the theoretical analysis.