#01Aug 20, 2026
eess.AS
$TCP_α$: Margin-Controlled Confidence estimation for reliable Music Information Retrieval
Parampreet Singh, Anushka Singh, Sumit Kumar and 1 more
Deep neural networks are often overconfident, assigning high confidence even to incorrect predictions. Consequently, users lack a reliable signal for deciding when a prediction can be trusted. Post-hoc confidence estimation addresses this by training a lightweight auxiliary head over a frozen classifier. Existing targets, however, suffer from inherent ambiguity: they assign overlapping confidence values to correct and incorrect predictions, while errors near the decision boundary receive confidence scores indistinguishable from correct predictions. In this work, we propose $TCP_α$, a novel confidence target that resolves these limitations by introducing a margin-controlled penalty for misclassified samples. We prove that $TCP_α$ guarantees complete separation between the target values of correct and incorrect predictions, with a separation margin that is independent of the number of classes and increases monotonically with the penalty parameter. Since accurate classifiers naturally produce very few errors, learning these targets results in a severely imbalanced regression problem. We therefore present a systematic study of training strategies for learning under this imbalance and identify an effective training configuration through extensive ablation studies. We evaluate the proposed approach on rāga identification, investigate its robustness under domain shift, and further validate it on frame-wise ornamentation detection without modifying the selected configuration. Across all settings, $TCP_α$ consistently outperforms existing confidence targets for failure prediction. Rejecting only the least-confident 8\% of predictions improves the base model's macro-F1 from 0.89 to 0.98, while fine-tuning the confidence head with only 5\% labeled samples from a new corpus effectively restores performance under domain shift.
#02Aug 20, 2026
cs.AI
Break It Down, Pass It On: Cross-Task Skill Transfer in LLM Agents
Yiyang Feng, Biddut Sarker Bijoy, Niranjan Balasubramanian and 1 more
Large language model (LLM) agents can induce skills from completed tasks and reuse them later to grow more capable with experience. In practice, induced skills may transfer unreliably and can even harm the agent that retrieves them. When agent-induced skills transfer reliably across tasks remains an open question. We conduct a comprehensive and controlled study of how the way skills are induced shapes their transfer across tasks. Specifically, we compare task-level with subtask-level skill induction and text with code skill formats, the two axes along which existing methods differ. Task-level skills mostly reduce the agent's performance below its no-memory baseline while subtask-level skills raise it above on average, and text skills transfer better than code skills. To further understand our findings, we examine two complementary properties of the induced skills: specificity, which measures how closely a skill matches real tasks, and abstractness, which measures how evenly its relevance spreads across tasks. Neither property alone predicts task success, but their combined effect does, which we propose as a skill utility score. The score correlates consistently with task success when skills are transferred, and subtask-level and text skills score higher. Computing skill utility only needs the skills and task descriptions but not any task execution, so our score serves as a practical diagnostic of a skill memory before any new task runs.
#03Aug 20, 2026
cs.LG
DICS: Data-Informed Centroid Splitting for Decision Tree Classifiers
MD Saifur Rahman Mazumder, Feng Yu
Decision tree-based models are widely used in machine learning due to their interpretability and strong empirical performance. However, training decision trees can be computationally expensive, particularly for large and high-dimensional datasets, largely due to the exhaustive search over candidate splits at each node. To improve computational efficiency, we propose Data-Informed Centroid Splitting (DICS), a clustering-based framework that constructs a compact and informative set of candidate splits using data-driven priors. By incorporating class-aware structure, DICS significantly reduces the split search space for classification tasks while preserving predictive performance. We further provide theoretical analysis showing that under the stated assumptions, DICS does not degrade the performance of classification trees compared to exhaustive split search. DICS can be incorporated into classification trees, random forests, and gradient-boosting models. Extensive experiments demonstrate that DICS achieves comparable accuracy while substantially reducing training time across synthetic and benchmark datasets, highlighting the benefit of integrating data-informed priors into split selection for scalable classification tree learning.
#04Aug 20, 2026
cs.AI
MidTool: Mid-training Data Synthesis for Agentic Tool Use
Fengqing Jiang, Yite Wang, Boyi Liu and 5 more
Mid-training is increasingly recognized as a critical stage for shaping the capabilities of large language models. Recent work has shown that targeted mid-training can strengthen reasoning-intensive abilities such as math and science, and can also improve agentic capabilities in software-engineering settings. In this work, we study the parallel but less explored agentic capability: general tool use. We present MidTool, an open corpus construction pipeline for agentic tool-use mid-training that combines large-scale web, PDF, and code data with synthesized supervision from real-world tool APIs, MCP skills, and document-grounded workflows. MidTool is designed to teach models how to recognize tool affordances, ground arguments from context, compose tool call workflow, and recover from incomplete information. We mid-train Qwen3-4B-Base and Qwen3-8B-Base on MidTool-Mix, and then apply follow-up post-training with both supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning. Compared with baselines, MidTool-Mix consistently improves downstream performance under both SFT and RL on BFCL, tau2-Bench, and MCP Universe. These results suggest that general tool use, like other important LLM capabilities, benefits from dedicated mid-training rather than being left entirely to post-training.
#05Aug 20, 2026
cs.AI
An Agentic Approach for Active Data Collection, Travel Behavior Modeling, and Weather-Sensitive Demand Prediction
Narges Ahmadi, Yubo Jiao, Jônatas Augusto Manzolli and 2 more
Travel behavior research increasingly combines digital data collection with predictive modeling, yet these stages are often developed and evaluated separately. This study proposes a three-agent workflow integrating conversational data collection, structured data processing, and behavioral prediction. A chatbot-administered, image-augmented stated-preference survey collected mode choices from student commuters across five predefined weather scenarios, yielding 454 respondent-scenario observations. Weather-related associations were analyzed using a multinomial logit model, while logistic regression and random forest provided machine-learning benchmarks. Nine locally deployed large language models (LLMs), ranging from 2 to 35 billion parameters, were evaluated across four zero-shot prompt-and-context conditions and extended through persona, few-shot, and vision-based configurations. Random forest achieved 69.6% five-class accuracy, while the best text-only zero-shot LLM reached 69.9% without task-specific fitting. Habitual travel information produced the most consistent gains, Expert framing generally outperformed Role-Play, and persona information was most useful when habitual travel information was unavailable. Few-shot prompting improved prediction for several models, with gains stabilizing after a small number of examples. Using the same weather images shown to respondents, the best vision-based configuration reached 71.5% five-class accuracy, indicating that visual context may provide additional predictive information for selected models. Overall, the study shows how conversational surveys, structured data processing, conventional behavioral modeling, machine learning, and multimodal LLM prediction can be coordinated within an auditable multi-agent workflow.