#01Aug 24, 2026
cs.LG
MetaCaster: Meta-Harness-Optimized Agent for End-to-End Few-Shot Learning of Lightweight Time Series Forecasters
ChengAo Shen, Wenchao Yu, Fangyu Wu and 6 more
Time series forecasting (TSF) is evolving toward multimodal and agentic settings, yet using foundation models remains uneconomical in resource-constrained scenarios, where compact, specialized forecasters are more desirable. However, lightweight forecasters typically require substantial training data, limiting their use in domains with scarce, slowly accumulated, or privacy-sensitive time series. To address this dilemma, we investigate the challenging problem of few-shot learning for lightweight forecasters. We propose MetaCaster, a meta-harness-optimized multi-agent framework that uses agentic data generation to automatically train specialized lightweight forecasters from only a few examples and textual contexts. Our work highlights a new TSF paradigm in which agents act not as forecasters but as intermediary engineers that prepare efficient, task-specific forecasters for deployment. Experiments on 18 datasets, 23 state-of-the-art lightweight forecasters, and 14 baselines demonstrate that MetaCaster achieves both data efficiency and computational efficiency while maintaining high-quality TSF performance.
#02Aug 24, 2026
cs.CV
EG-ARSA: An Expert-Grounded Open Model for Visual Road Safety Auditing in Low-Resource Settings
Md Thamed Bin Zaman Chowdhury, Moazzem Hossain
Road traffic injuries remain a major challenge in low- and middle-income countries, where proactive road safety auditing is limited by incomplete crash records, shortages of qualified auditors, and the high cost of large-scale field inspections. To address this problem, we propose Expert-Grounded Distillation (EGD), a novel artificial intelligence framework that transfers institutional road safety expertise into a compact vision-language model for scalable visual road safety auditing. The key innovation is a quantified expert-grounding stage in which the teacher vision-language model is calibrated against authoritative field audits. Large-scale annotation is permitted only after the teacher reaches substantial agreement with expert risk assessments (Cohen's kappa = 0.74). The calibrated teacher then generates structured supervision that is distilled into an 8-billion-parameter student vision-language model using Low-Rank Adaptation and a single leakage-free prompt. We also introduce Bangladesh Road Safety Audit (BD-ARSA), the first open, expert-grounded Bangladeshi visual road safety audit dataset containing 21,947 image-audit records with near-national coverage, and Expert-Grounded Road Safety Auditor (EG-ARSA), the first vision-language model developed specifically for this task. Experimental results show that grounded fine-tuning substantially improves ordinal risk assessment over the zero-shot baseline, while blind expert evaluation demonstrates that the compact student outperforms both its 31 billion-parameter teacher and Gemini-2.5-Flash. These findings demonstrate that EGD provides an effective and scalable engineering solution for proactive road safety auditing in resource-constrained environments.
#03Aug 24, 2026
cs.CL
What's the Catch? Evaluating Temporal Consistency in Vision-Language Models
Marek Hradil, Danae Sánchez Villegas
Vision-language models (VLMs) achieve strong performance on video and image-sequence benchmarks, yet it remains unclear whether they capture temporal structure. To study this question, we formulate temporal grounding as an anomaly detection problem, providing a simple and controlled evaluation that directly tests sensitivity to temporal consistency. We introduce TimeCatch, where temporal anomalies are created by swapping consecutive frames and frame-level anomalies by replacing a frame with Gaussian noise. Models are evaluated on anomaly detection and localization tasks across four synthetic and real-world datasets, alongside a human study. Our evaluation reveals a substantial gap between frame-level and temporal anomaly detection. While VLMs consistently detect frame-level anomalies and often localize them accurately, they perform near chance on temporal anomaly detection and only modestly above chance on localization. Humans, in contrast, achieve near-ceiling performance on both tasks. Additional analyses across model scales, prompting strategies, sequence lengths, and visual similarity suggest that these failures cannot be explained solely by limitations in perception or model capacity. Together, these findings indicate that current VLMs can identify anomalies within individual frames but struggle to integrate information across frames to reason about temporal consistency. TimeCatch provides a controlled benchmark for evaluating temporal grounding in vision-language models.
#04Aug 24, 2026
cs.MA
The Interaction Tax: When Communication Erases Diversity in Multi-Agent Teams
Summer Eunhyung Ann, Haokun Liu, Chenhao Tan
Does multi-agent LLM interaction help or hurt? Some work reports gains from debate (Du et al., 2024), critique loops (Chen et al., 2025), and mixture-of-agents synthesis (Wang et al., 2025), while other work finds that interaction adds cost without improving quality under equal budgets (Tran & Kiela, 2026; Xu et al., 2026; Jarrett et al., 2025), or that independent sampling already captures multi-agent gains (Li et al., 2024). We argue this contradiction partly reflects a missing distinction, because not all multi-agent communication is equal. Different model families find structurally different solutions, but when agents read each other's complete outputs, their proposals converge within one round, erasing the diversity that motivates using multiple models. We call this the interaction tax. We test 11 verifier-scored optimization tasks under matched budgets and find that full-solution interaction is a weak default. Independent proposal generation avoids this collapse. Full-solution interaction mainly makes agents stay close to the first solution they see instead of trying different approaches, and critique helps only if the violated rule is easy for the LLM to find and fix. These results suggest that multi-agent performance depends less on the number of agents than on the information they exchange, and interaction helps only when agents share the right information at the right time.
#05Aug 24, 2026
cs.CL
When Names Cross Scripts: A Source-Grounded Benchmark for Historical Entity Reconciliation in the Mongol World
Xiang Chen, Zeyu Zhang
Historical people may appear under different languages, scripts, and transcription traditions, while distinct individuals may share highly similar or even identical names. This makes historical identity reconciliation more than a problem of string matching or transliteration. We introduce MHER, a provenance-controlled benchmark for pairwise reconciliation of person-name attestations from the Mongol world. MHER contains a balanced 396-pair Name-only core over 84 primary historical persons and a stricter 160-pair Source-grounded subset constructed from mention-by-source evidence, with entity-disjoint development and test splits. Across five generative systems, correctly Source-grounded evidence improves paired TEST accuracy by 12.96 to 94.44 percentage points relative to Name-only input. On five identical-surface different-person cases, all models fail under names alone (0/25 model-item decisions), whereas Source-grounded evidence yields 24/25 correct resolutions, with the remaining output an abstention. Context-only ablations show that historical descriptions often carry substantial identity information, while explicitly signaled misgrounding controls produce substantially lower performance. We also find that names are not uniformly beneficial: for Qwen3-8B, restoring surface forms converts ten otherwise correct Context-only distinctions into false identity merges. These results show that historical entity reconciliation depends not only on surface correspondence, but on whether identity judgments respond appropriately to provenance-controlled historical evidence. MHER therefore provides a controlled framework for studying evidence use, abstention, and failure modes in historical NLP.