#01Aug 20, 2026
cs.AI
Phantom Gains: Auditing Self-Improvement Against a Measured Null
Cheng Xu, Nan Yan, Liming Chen and 1 more
Whether a language model has improved itself is increasingly judged not by mean accuracy but by which individual problems it gains and loses. Tracking these transitions means differencing two noisy estimates, leaving them vulnerable to measurement artifacts. Auditing three rounds of rank-$32$ LoRA self-training on Qwen3-8B against a frozen control pushed through the identical pipeline, we identify seven measurement failures, each of which inverts a reported finding when its control is absent. Several are standard practice. A ledger built on a single greedy decode manufactures capability changes on an untrained model, largely an artifact of inference batching; the expansion statistic separating acquisition from sharpening assigns that same model a rate of $0.280$. The natural threshold repair does not survive replication: estimated across the frozen comparisons such a design already contains, its null stays non-zero. We replace it with a per-problem exact test against a pooled baseline under false-discovery-rate control, which detects nothing on any held-out replicate and is unchanged under the multiple-testing rule, error rate and pool size. Applied to a ladder of arms matched in stream, volume and evaluation, the audit finds that external distillation improves problems the base model rarely reaches while three forms of self-training do not; a regression rejects this asymmetry as a by-product of distillation's larger overall gain ($p < 10^{-8}$). On the far smaller set of problems the base model never reaches, the evidence is inconclusive, while self-training corrupts problems solved at baseline at rates well above the measured floor. Transition-level auditing therefore requires a separately measured null for every statistic it reports: nulls that cost no new experiments, built from baseline replicates a multi-arm study already owns, though not from as few as most possess.
#02Aug 20, 2026
cs.AI
Pandora's AI Model Routing Box: Efficient Allocation with Costly Value Estimation
Adam Fisch, Shubhendu Trivedi, Fantine Huot and 5 more
Heterogeneous AI systems composed of multiple models, architectures, harnesses, or inference-time settings can improve quality and efficiency by routing queries to the specialist who can answer most effectively at the lowest cost. Routing requires estimating each specialist's expected return, but this value estimation has a cost. Cheap estimators (e.g., embedding-based predictors) are fast but noisy, while accurate estimators (e.g., fine-tuned models with access to retrieval results or partial reasoning traces) are expensive. We formalize this tradeoff as an instance of Pandora's Box, the classical problem of optimal search with costly inspection. Under a Gaussian signal model, the resulting policies have closed-form value-of-information expressions that determine, for each specialist and input, whether refining the value estimate is worth its cost. We call the centralized policy Pandora's Router. We extend this to a decentralized setting, Pandora's Bidder, where specialists independently decide whether to invest in self-assessment before accepting an offered price to claim a query. Experiments across three domains---a standard multi-LLM benchmark, retrieval-augmented specialists, and LLMs with variable inference-time reasoning---show that Pandora's Router matches the routing quality of exhaustive estimation, while querying the expensive estimator far less often. In the decentralized setting, value-of-information reasoning improves allocative efficiency when competing estimates are accurate; when competing estimates are noisy, however, it can increase the strategic specialist's utility at the expense of others.
#03Aug 20, 2026
cs.CL
Task-CoEvolve: Efficient Harness Optimization via Adaptive Validation Task Selection
Atsuyuki Miyai, Kiyoharu Aizawa, Toshihiko Yamasaki
We present a novel approach to efficient LLM agent harness optimization through adaptive validation task selection. Harness optimization iteratively rewrites the harness code based on validation performance, enabling substantial performance gains without updating the underlying model weights. Existing approaches, however, evaluate a fixed validation set in full at every iteration, incurring substantial evaluation costs even on tasks that become less discriminative as the harness evolves. We propose $\textbf{Task-CoEvolve}$, which co-evolves the validation tasks with the harness by addressing two challenges: selecting informative tasks and estimating full-set performance from partial evaluations. Task-CoEvolve builds on the observation that tasks on which candidate harnesses disagree are more informative for distinguishing among them than tasks that are consistently solved or failed. It uses variance-weighted sampling based on past outcomes to focus evaluation on tasks near the agent's capability frontier, with the sampling distribution adapting as the harness evolves. It then estimates full-set scores from the sampled tasks by accounting for their sampling probabilities, enabling consistent comparisons across iterations despite evaluating different subsets. Experiments on online text classification and Terminal-Bench 2.1 show that Task-CoEvolve consistently outperforms fixed-subset baselines and matches the final performance of full-set search while reducing the number of evaluations during optimization by 80%. Code will be released at https://github.com/Agent4Science-UTokyo/Task-CoEvolve.
#04Aug 20, 2026
cs.MA
Multi-Agent Orchestration with the Common-Sense Reasoning Capabilities of LLMs for Autonomous Driving
Mehdi Azarafza, Faezeh Pasandideh, Ali Ehteshami Bejnordi and 2 more
Autonomous vehicles require robust perception and decision-making capabilities to operate in diverse and unseen scenarios. While reinforcement learning and rule-based methods can provide effective control and safety mechanisms, their performance may degrade in situations requiring contextual reasoning. Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong capabilities in understanding multimodal information and generating contextual reasoning, however, their use for direct vehicle control can introduce latency and hallucination risks. To address these limitations, a hybrid framework is proposed. This system uses an orchestrator to coordinate PPO-trained reinforcement learning and PID control, with LLM common-sense reasoning applied throughout the framework. LLM reasoning is further employed iteratively to refine the RL reward function for dynamic driving environments. The proposed framework is evaluated in highly randomized CARLA scenarios under diverse environmental and traffic conditions. The results demonstrate the potential of integrating LLM-based reasoning with conventional autonomous driving methods while retaining structured control and safety mechanism.
#05Aug 20, 2026
cs.AI
QUASAR: A Quantum-Classical Neural Network for SAR Satellite Physical-Layer Authentication
Vincenzo Sammartino, Nathanael Denis, Roberto Di Pietro
X-band SAR satellites (8-12 GHz) play a critical role in disaster response, environmental monitoring, and military intelligence. Yet, they lack robust physical-layer authentication (PLA), a security layer orthogonal to cryptographic solutions. Existing PLA systems, typically based on radio-frequency fingerprinting, are often limited to sub-6 GHz frequencies and rely on classical deep learning. However, this approach underfits the IQ phase nonlinearities that distinguish satellite hardware. In this paper, we present QUASAR, to the best of our knowledge the first quantum-classical hybrid architecture that fuses a CNN spectrogram encoder with a variational quantum circuit (VQC) to provide PLA to X-band SAR signals. Our solution enjoys two distinctive features: (i) it is markedly more data-efficient than classical machine learning, requiring only 10% of the training data to match the accuracy of classical baselines -- data collection being notoriously the most time-consuming phase of PLA; and, (ii) at an equal data budget, it improves classification accuracy over those baselines. In detail, we test our solution under three adversarial scenarios: replay, crafted-IQ injection, and space-borne spoofing. QUASAR rejects spoofed transmissions in 89.7%, 94.1%, and 81.3% of attempts, respectively, establishing the first quantum-enhanced physical-layer classifier for satellite constellations. The fully detailed framework and the supporting results, other than being interesting on their own, show a novel research avenue for physical-layer authentication.