#01Aug 20, 2026
cs.CL
When Text and Numbers Disagree: Evidence Arbitration in Large Language Models
Mattia Carletti, Edward Phillips, Fredrik K. Gustafsson and 5 more
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in settings where textual summaries, numerical observations, and external tool outputs may provide conflicting evidence. We study how LLMs arbitrate between such sources when they support opposing decisions. To do so, we introduce a controlled synthetic benchmark in which latent risk trajectories generate both numerical time series and natural language summaries, allowing us to construct conflicts where exactly one evidence source is aligned with the ground-truth label. This design lets us independently manipulate modality, temporal recency, source reliability, and evidence provenance. Across open-weight instruction-tuned models, we find that arbitration behaviour is systematic rather than random: models exhibit distinct text-versus-number preferences, follow temporal recency more consistently than explicit reliability cues, and can over-rely on external forecasts even when they conflict with direct contextual evidence. These results suggest that current LLMs often rely on heuristic arbitration strategies when integrating heterogeneous evidence, highlighting a failure mode for tool-augmented decision systems.
#02Aug 20, 2026
cs.CL
Inducing Task Models from Computer-Use Traces
Yucheng Jiang, Zora Zhiruo Wang, Ruishi Chen and 1 more
Naturalistic computer-use traces, passively recorded screenshots and mouse or keyboard actions, are a valuable resource for deriving symbolic, auditable, and reusable models of how everyday work is done. Such models matter as computer-use agents enter real work, where agents need to learn how tasks are actually performed, and organizations need to audit and reuse that knowledge. However, inducing such task models is challenging, as activity is observed only as low-level events and real-world work is multi-threaded with interleaved goals. Existing methods assume a given task or a single workflow, and produce step-level summaries rather than structured task models. We introduce Task Model Induction (TMI), which (i) discovers the latent tasks in an unconstrained trace, disentangling concurrent activity, and (ii) for each latent task, induces a task model pairing a hierarchical objective model of recursive goal decomposition with a procedure model of the control flow that organized the execution. Intrinsically, on controlled human and agent trajectories, TMI recovers interleaved tasks with 0.974 agreement against ground-truth groupings and reconstructs 74.9% of the observed execution steps, far more than the strongest workflow induction baseline. Extrinsically, skills derived from TMI's task models improve held-out task accuracy by 30.0% over the strongest baseline.
#03Aug 20, 2026
physics.soc-ph
Growth Without Us: Machine Consumers, Corporate Circularity, and the Decoupling of GDP from Humanity after AGI
Sahil Sharma
The standard objection to full automation is demand-side: if humans earn nothing, who buys the output? This confuses an accounting role with a biological species. We model a post-AGI economy in which corporations own populations of AI and robotic agents that are both producers and consumers of energy, compute, maintenance, and upgrades, traded among firms. Three results follow. (i) Demand closure: a closed inter-corporate economy with zero human consumption is not degenerate; it is the classical von Neumann expanding economy, whose growth rate is well defined, positive, and maximal precisely because all output is reinvested. (ii) Bottleneck removal: once economic agents are manufactured rather than reared, the binding constraint on growth shifts from human demography (a ~20-year, non-parallelizable reproduction technology capped at a few percent per year) to fabrication throughput and energy capture, permitting growth one to two orders of magnitude higher, with hyperbolic episodes when machine researchers raise their own productivity. (iii) Decoupling: output and human welfare separate completely, and the welfare relevance of arbitrarily large GDP collapses into one state variable: the human ownership share $ε_t$ of the corporate network. A golden-rule decoupling theorem sharpens this. At maximal growth the interest rate equals the growth rate (r = g), so any positive human consumption rate out of wealth makes $ε_t$ decay exponentially at exactly that rate. The human share survives only if the machine economy runs strictly inside its expansion frontier, or if law forces it to. We characterize three terminal regimes -- rentier post-scarcity, full circular decoupling, socialized ownership -- and the instruments that select among them. The conclusion is narrow: in a post-AGI economy, employment policy is obsolete and ownership policy is everything.
#04Aug 20, 2026
cs.AI
Learning When to Think: Adaptive Reasoning for Test-Time Compute Allocation
Gijs Kassenaar, Zhao Yang, Vincent François-Lavet
Reasoning language models trained with reinforcement learning typically operate under a fixed token budget rather than an explicitly adaptive one, which can lead to over-computation on easy problems and insufficient computation on difficult ones. We study whether a model can learn to allocate its own reasoning effort by choosing, as the first token of its response, one of three modes: \textsc{NoThink} (answer as quickly as possible), \textsc{Short} (brief reasoning), or \textsc{Long} (extended reasoning). The choice is learned inside Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) with no separate router, through a shaped reward that makes each mode worthwhile at a different response length, together with hard per-mode token caps that keep the modes distinct. On a 1.5B distilled model trained on MATH, the three modes emerge without collapsing to a single choice, and the brief modes end up more accurate than \textsc{Long}, which shows that the router sorts problems by difficulty rather than at random. Averaged over three seeds, the resulting policy stays close to the base model's accuracy on the held-out MATH500 ($0.782$ vs.\ $0.796$) while cutting the mean response length from $4{,}796$ to $2{,}811$ tokens (a $41\%$ reduction). Interestingly, it also transfers to other benchmarks without retraining, with the largest savings where problems are easier, with for instance 76\% token reduction on GSM8K and at higher accuracy than the baselines at similar response length. In short, we build a reasoning model that adaptively chooses how much to reason for each problem.
#05Aug 20, 2026
cs.LG
A Standardized Framework for Machine Learning in Power System Protection
Julian Oelhaf, Georg Kordowich, Paula Andrea Pérez-Toro and 4 more
Studies of machine-learning-based power-system protection increasingly report near-perfect scores, yet the meaning of those scores depends strongly on the evaluation setting. Protection task, physical scope, measurements, timing, targets, preprocessing, and validation often vary jointly and remain incompletely specified. This paper proposes a standardization-oriented framework that treats evaluation design as part of the scientific contribution. It defines seven required study dimensions: protection objective, physical scope, observability, timing and decision windows, targets and sample validity, validation protocol, and evaluation outputs. The framework is instantiated in a bounded case study on the public PROTECT-90 electromagnetic-transient benchmark, comprising 9022 simulated episodes from a 90 kV double-line topology, for onset-conditioned fault classification and localization. Under centralized sensing, simulation-metadata-aligned 20 ms windows, and episode-grouped validation, a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) achieved a five-fold mean macro-averaged F1 score of 0.991 +/- 0.001 for classification and a localization mean absolute error of 10.20 +/- 0.25% of line length (mean +/- std across episode-grouped folds). Extending the decision horizon to 50 ms preserved this task-dependent performance asymmetry, while reduced observability approximately doubled the MLP localization error but had little effect on classification. A synchronized two-ended conventional locator outperformed the learning locators under its richer clean information set, and measurement degradation showed that clean predictive performance did not determine robustness. The framework turns evaluation assumptions into explicit, reproducible evidence and provides a basis for more comparable, auditable evaluation and future certification-oriented assessment of machine-learning protection functions.