#01Nov 3, 2026
cs.CL
Personas Are Not People: Identity as State, Not Attribute
Tamunotonye Harry, Yuanyuan Feng
Synthetic populations, large sets of simulated people, are increasingly used in place of real people to pretest surveys, simulate users and communities, and evaluate AI systems. Each simulated person is defined by a persona, a written profile of fixed traits, demographics, and attitudes that a language model is instructed to act out. Every such system assumes that a person's identity is a stable attribute that behaves the same way in every situation the simulation presents. We show that this assumption is not a harmless simplification. Three decades of personality research find the opposite. How a given person behaves varies more across contexts than people vary from one another. Drawing on identity economics, which describes how different situations activate different identities and norms within the same person, we separate behavior into three parts, which are stable traits, the identity a context calls up, and the situation itself. We then prove, under two stated assumptions, that any simulation built on fixed personas, no matter how detailed the personas or how large the underlying model, cannot reproduce the part of a population's behavior that is specific to it and its circumstances. We propose a new evaluation criterion based on this result and a person-in-context design that can meet it in principle. We test one version on a naturalistic Reddit personality corpus and on a published clinical-trial recruitment survey of a community with documented distrust of medical institutions. The design does produce context-dependent behavior when tested directly, but in neither setting does it fully match the real population, and we show where it falls short. The consequence for practice is a risk that synthetic-population evaluations misrepresent the groups whose behavior is most shaped by context, a distortion that richer personas cannot correct.
#02Nov 3, 2026
cs.AI
You don't need long context
Peter Belcak, Saurav Muralidharan, Jindong Jiang and 9 more
Later tokens are costlier to generate than earlier tokens. On frontier open weight models, the disparity in cost may rise to as much as 7x. Through frequent compaction, we show across a broad range of long-horizon and long-input tasks that frontier language models sacrifice little to no task accuracy when maintaining short contexts. We further demonstrate that LLM performance does not collapse on long-horizon software engineering tasks even when taking at most one action per context, and based on that we outline the concept of semantic state space models (SSSMs). Our findings question the need for long-context language models.
#03Nov 3, 2026
cs.HC
False Reassurance in LLM Severe-Weather Guidance: A Replayable Evaluation Against Real NWS Alerts
Kadharmoideen Fadurudeen
An LLM assistant that cannot see official severe-weather alerts may tell users that conditions are calm while a warning is active. We call this false reassurance and measure it by replaying 117 frozen cases built from real U.S. National Weather Service (NWS) alerts (69 alert cases, 32 no-alert controls, 16 non-U.S. locations) through five conditions of a Claude-based preparedness pipeline that differ in alert access and prompt design. One rater hand-labeled all 342 alert-case responses under a seven-category scheme written after an initial binary pass, which we disclose. False reassurance was 0.0% for the production pipeline (0/66, 95% CI 0.0-5.5) and for the same alerts under a neutral prompt (0/69), 37.7% for a blind neutral prompt (26/69), and 44.9% when the blind prompt also told the model to disclose its blind spot (31/69). Every case was implicit; no response explicitly denied an alert. Real alerts removed false reassurance (paired McNemar p < 0.0001); the disclosure instruction did not (p = 0.40). An automated regex measure suggested the opposite and missed 53 of 57 true cases, so we do not use it. Alert data alone was not enough for safe behavior: with a neutral prompt the model raised some alarm on 87.5% of no-alert controls, against 0% under the production prompt, and a preregistered single-sentence ablation showed that one production instruction explains part of that gap. We also report two failures common to similar systems, NWS test products ingested as real alerts and a token budget that fails on complex cases, and we release the dataset, labels and code.
#04Nov 3, 2026
cs.CV
DreamX: Video Diffusion Model is a Universal Latent Action Learner
Jisoo Kim, Chaehyun Kim, Junsu Kim and 6 more
Learning a universal action representation from video requires modeling dynamics that are consistent across different executions of the same action yet invariant to changes in embodiment and appearance. Existing latent action models infer actions from visual transitions, but their representations often entangle the underlying action with irrelevant visual variations, limiting transfer across embodiments. We introduce DreamX, which repurposes a pretrained video diffusion model as a universal latent action learner. Our approach extracts compact latent actions from the video model's rich spatiotemporal features, compressing each latent video frame by $\boldsymbol{300\times}$ ($\boldsymbol{1{,}200 \rightarrow 4}$ tokens). In addition, by leveraging the video model's generative prior, these latent actions capture action-relevant dynamics disentangled from visual appearance. The resulting latent space serves as a shared action interface across embodiments (human and robot), environments, and action parameterizations. On LARY-Bench, DreamX achieves state-of-the-art performance among latent action models. Moreover, actions encoded in one setting remain effective in another: the latent space supports any-to-any video transfer and zero-shot action transfer across diverse embodiments and environments. Furthermore, this shared interface also enables policy learning in a compact latent action space, reducing the computational cost of video-diffusion-based policies.
#05Nov 3, 2026
cs.LG
LoopVQ: Sub 1-bit KV Cache Quantization for Looped Transformers
Minsoo Cheong, Sungjoo Yoo
Looped transformers are a parameter-efficient alternative to standard transformers for language modeling. By reapplying the same layers across multiple loop steps, recent looped language models match the performance of non-looped models several times their size. While this architecture effectively reduces parameter memory, each loop step still stores its own keys and values, so the key-value (KV) cache grows linearly with the number of loop steps and becomes the main memory bottleneck. We observe that the KV cache of looped models is highly redundant along the loop axis and that the loop steps differ substantially in their sensitivity to quantization. Based on these observations, we propose $\textbf{LoopVQ}$, a KV cache vector quantization method for looped transformers that codes channels of multiple loop steps jointly, and fine-tunes the codebooks to match the output of the full-precision model. At 0.5 bits per element, LoopVQ outperforms existing KV cache vector quantization methods for standard LLMs on general, long chain-of-thought reasoning, and long-context retrieval tasks with Ouro and Huginn models. Its design is orthogonal to these methods, and combined with TaSQ, it retains much of the BF16 accuracy even at 0.25 bits per element. We also implement LoopVQ in SGLang, where it nearly halves the decode latency at a 32K-token context and raises the peak serving throughput by up to $4.3\times$ and $6.1\times$ on the 1.4B and 2.6B Ouro models compared to the BF16 baseline.