#01Nov 3, 2026
cs.AI
Adversarial Speculative Reasoning Improves Long Horizon Agents
Hongyin Luo, Wei Fang, Lijie Yang and 5 more
Speculative decoding has been treated purely as a systems optimization that speeds up large language model decoding without changing the model behavior. Under this view, the growing effort to train better draft models has been focused solely on acceptance rate. We argue that this view does not hold true for long-horizon agent reasoning. Measuring frontier open-weight models on complex agentic tasks with different speculative decoding approaches, we found that numerical noise grows within verification windows, and the draft acceptance results of the thinking process can change the output distribution of the model after 30 steps, thus noticeably influencing the reasoning accuracy of long-horizon agents in random directions. In this work, we improve the reasoning capability of target models by controlling such noise. While we cannot change the overall token distribution verified by the target model, we can encode critical reasoning with highest precision by training the draft model to be rejected. We identify these points in agent traces and train the draft model to favor adversarial preference. At inference the trained draft and the target part ways precisely at these decision points, verification restarts, so that critical thinking tokens are sampled from the target model and encoded under its least noisy conditions. This approach makes critical reasoning better indexed and more durable over a long horizon. On complex agentic coding benchmarks, our approach raises end-to-end success rate with no change to the target model or its output distribution. Our results recast the speculative decoding mechanism from a pure accelerator into an active allocator for context precision that improves the accuracy of long-horizon agents by training 0.06% to 0.28% of hosted parameters.
#02Nov 3, 2026
cs.HC
False Reassurance in LLM Severe-Weather Guidance: A Replayable Evaluation Against Real NWS Alerts
Kadharmoideen Fadurudeen
An LLM assistant that cannot see official severe-weather alerts may tell users that conditions are calm while a warning is active. We call this false reassurance and measure it by replaying 117 frozen cases built from real U.S. National Weather Service (NWS) alerts (69 alert cases, 32 no-alert controls, 16 non-U.S. locations) through five conditions of a Claude-based preparedness pipeline that differ in alert access and prompt design. One rater hand-labeled all 342 alert-case responses under a seven-category scheme written after an initial binary pass, which we disclose. False reassurance was 0.0% for the production pipeline (0/66, 95% CI 0.0-5.5) and for the same alerts under a neutral prompt (0/69), 37.7% for a blind neutral prompt (26/69), and 44.9% when the blind prompt also told the model to disclose its blind spot (31/69). Every case was implicit; no response explicitly denied an alert. Real alerts removed false reassurance (paired McNemar p < 0.0001); the disclosure instruction did not (p = 0.40). An automated regex measure suggested the opposite and missed 53 of 57 true cases, so we do not use it. Alert data alone was not enough for safe behavior: with a neutral prompt the model raised some alarm on 87.5% of no-alert controls, against 0% under the production prompt, and a preregistered single-sentence ablation showed that one production instruction explains part of that gap. We also report two failures common to similar systems, NWS test products ingested as real alerts and a token budget that fails on complex cases, and we release the dataset, labels and code.
#03Nov 3, 2026
physics.med-ph
MedPhysBench: A Benchmark for Evaluating Language Models on Medical Physics Calculations and Error Detection
Omar Nusrat
Medical physicists turn a prescription into a delivered dose and check one another's calculations, because one error in a beam calibration or a monitor-unit (MU) calculation can affect every patient treated with it. MedPhysBench has ten seeded generators of calculation items in radiation therapy, diagnostic imaging, nuclear medicine and radiation protection, up to clinical tasks such as a TG-51 calibration worksheet. Reference answers come from code implementing the governing protocols, and a grader converts units and applies tolerance bands. From the same inputs, separate checking items test error detection, showing a colleague's worksheet or only the colleague's result, half correct and half with one planted error. On a held-out test split of 1,200 items (half for two models), 12 models scored 33.3 to 100.0% on calculation. Of the nine answers graded incorrect for the four best (99.3-100.0%), five contained model errors and four followed NCRP Report 151 on points our items misstate or leave open. Below them, most models did worst on level-3 clinical tasks, and Claude Sonnet 5.5 omitted the inverse-square correction in 19 of 20 isocentric MU items. Five models detected at least 96.7% of mostly large planted errors with at most 4% false alarms; for four of the other seven, checking only the result raised false alarms significantly. In an exploratory targeted test with 20 public cases of an omitted inverse-square correction, the three best models tested caught it in every worksheet, and three weaker models accepted 16 to 18 of 20 planted worksheets, one of them while applying the correction in most of its own calculations. Claude Opus 5.5 accepted 6 of 20 wrong results, although it applied the correction in all 20 of its own. We report the effect of two problems in our shielding items, found after the runs, and release the code, per-item outcomes and targeted-test responses.
#04Nov 3, 2026
cs.CV
Low-Density 3D Point Cloud Classification
Ahmed Baha Ben Jmaa, Faten Chaieb
3D point cloud classification, a task in computer vision, has recently gained substantial interest due to its extensive applications across various domains such as augmented and virtual reality, robotics, and autonomous driving. However, classifying 3D point clouds becomes challenging in real-world scenarios where the density levels vary. These variations are due to limitations inherent to current sensing technologies and variable environmental conditions, which often prevent the capture of detailed and comprehensive geometric representations. Existing classification methods, which have demonstrated impressive results on dense point clouds, may be affected and could experience reduced performance when dealing with low-density point clouds. Addressing this challenge, this paper introduces LD-PointNet++, an architecture optimized for the classification of low-density point clouds. To pave the way for LD-PointNet++, we conduct the first benchmarking study that systematically evaluates state-of-the-art point cloud classification methods across varying densities, revealing significant performance declines in low-density environments. Experimental results on the ModelNet benchmark dataset demonstrate that LD-PointNet++ not only outperforms these methods in low-density scenarios but also demonstrates consistent accuracy above 90% across different density levels.
#05Nov 3, 2026
cs.LG
CATF: A Manager-Worker Framework for Context-Aware Time-Series Forecasting
Yueqiao Chen, Dongyu Liu
We study context-aware time-series forecasting, in which a single target variable is predicted from its own history and a set of contextual variables, such as weather and calendar information. As the context becomes more diverse, a single model struggles to capture all of its regimes, while ensemble learning and Mixture-of-Experts approaches rely on manual data partitioning or soft routing, which increases the inference cost and hinders interpretability. We propose CATF, a Context-Aware Time-Series Forecasting framework built on a Manager-Worker architecture: a Transformer-based Manager routes each input to a single Worker based on the context, using hard routing during both training and inference. The Workers thus specialize without manual data partitioning, and any single-model forecaster can serve as a Worker. On five context-rich datasets, four horizons, and two normalization schemes, CATF improves over its standalone counterpart in 162 of 200 comparisons, the best CATF-enhanced model outperforms the best standalone baseline in 19 of 20 settings, and it outperforms the zero-shot Time-MoE foundation model in 15 of 20 settings. A case study on bike-sharing data shows that the Manager routes inputs by the calendar and that each Worker specializes in a different weekly pattern.