#01Aug 13, 2026
cs.CV
PlayWorld: Benchmarking World Models with Agent Players over Long-Horizon Objectives
Kaixin Ding, Xi Chen, Minghong Cai and 9 more
Video world models simulate future states conditioned on current observations and user actions. Recent systems have demonstrated impressive video consistency and action controllability over long sequences. However, fairly comparing these interactive models remains challenging. In practice, a human player typically evaluates a world model by pursuing long-horizon objectives through interaction. For example, a user may turn around 360 degrees to see whether the environment remains consistent, or walk into the water and inspect whether realistic water ripples are generated. The action sequence required to achieve the same objective may vary substantially between models, making fixed action-conditioned evaluation unsuitable for cross-model comparison. To address this, we employ multi-modal Agent Players to interact with world models toward specified long-horizon objectives. Building on this paradigm, we introduce PlayWorld, a benchmark providing 171 scenarios, each with a specified objective. To evaluate performance thoroughly, we assess models along four core dimensions: geometry consistency, interaction fidelity, out-of-sight evolution, and insight evolution. In addition, we incorporate basic ability metrics for video quality and controllability. Experiments across nine state-of-the-art world models reveal that current models remain unreliable on long-horizon interactive objectives, particularly in maintaining spatial consistency and persistent state evolution. Code and data are available at https://github.com/kxding/PlayWorld.
#02Aug 13, 2026
math.ST
On the Structural Limits of Machine Learning Decision Systems: An Information-Theoretic, Interaction-Based, and Stochastic-Dynamical Perspective
Nestor R. Barraza, Gabriel Pena
Machine learning procedures are commonly evaluated in terms of predictive accuracy and computational efficiency. However, their achievable performance is fundamentally constrained by structural properties of the underlying data-generating process, which are formalized in terms of informational bounds. In this work we examine intrinsic limits of data-driven decision systems from an information-theoretic and interaction-based perspective. We analyze minimal achievable error in classification through Fano-type bounds and precision limits in parametric estimation via the Cramér-Rao inequality, emphasizing that such limits depend on the underlying model rather than on algorithmic sophistication alone. We further discuss how implicit assumptions, such as independence, ergodicity, and distributional stability, affect the validity of inferential procedures. Building on interaction-based modeling principles, we review typical frameworks such as Markov Random Fields and potential based representations for encoding dependence mechanisms. We also describe decision systems, including LLM-integrated agent architectures, as feedback-driven stochastic processes where state-dependent dynamics may induce emergent macroscopic behavior. This perspective highlights the importance of having adequate models for the data as a prerequi- site for expanding predictive capability, and situates algorithmic learning within the informational limits imposed by the models.
#03Aug 13, 2026
cs.CL
DFM Mimir v1: An Open HRM Delivering Frontier Performance at 1B Parameters Using Only Permissible Post-Training Data
Peter Schneider-Kamp, Jacob Nielsen, Gianluca Barmina and 2 more
Current large language model development relies on massive, often non-permissible datasets, creating a high barrier for researchers committed to open-source and ethically sourced data. We introduce Mimir v1, a 1-billion-parameter language model based on the Hierarchical Reasoning Model (HRM) architecture, that is trained from scratch and delivers highly competitive performance for English and sets a new state of the art for Danish using only permissible post-training data. Trained on a mixture of 161 datasets, Mimir v1 outperforms the original HRM-Text 1B and competes with larger frontier models like Qwen 3.5 4B and Gemma 4 E2B, tested across 20 benchmarks for English, Math & Code and Danish. The model is available on the Hugging Face Hub: https://huggingface.co/danish-foundation-models/DFM-Mimir
#04Aug 13, 2026
cs.LG
Intervention-Aware Clinical World Model for Post-Op Outcome Forecasting in Cardiology
Yunsung Chung, Yingshuo Liu, Abboud F. Hassan and 4 more
Many clinical prediction models treat post-intervention outcomes as a one-step mapping from baseline measurements to a future endpoint. However, recovery after a procedure often unfolds as an irregular trajectory: clinical observations, medication changes, repeat interventions, and physiological measurements are recorded asynchronously and can change risk assessment over time. We propose an intervention-aware clinical world model that represents each patient with a structured latent state and evolves it through time-ordered post-intervention events. The model first encodes baseline imaging into a 3D spatial latent state. It then updates this state using procedural context, static covariates, elapsed time, and peri-event physiological embeddings. Follow-up imaging provides training-only supervision through a latent forecasting objective. We apply the framework to atrial fibrillation ablation. During the 90-day recovery window, irregular post-procedure records provide clinically meaningful evidence for long-term recurrence risk. In repeated internal cross-validation on DECAAF-II, our model achieves AUROC 0.756 and AUPRC 0.777 for recurrence prediction. It also achieves a scar-extent MAE of 2.971 percentage points without requiring follow-up MRI intensities at inference. The learned state supports recurrence-risk queries at different horizons and retrospective input editing of blanking-period records.
#05Aug 13, 2026
cs.LG
The data geometry of masking diffusion: Certified-optimal schedules via unmasking growth complexity
Martin J. Wainwright
We study masking diffusion for discrete sampling and introduce a path-resolved measure of data geometry called the \emph{unmasking growth complexity} ({\textsf{UGC}\xspace}). Its local increments directly control Kullback--Leibler (KL) discretization error, yielding a unified analysis of Bernoulli-subset and fixed-cardinality unmasking schemes. In log-reveal-odds coordinates, this structure yields optimized single-block and multi-block schedules, and quantifies the gains from adapting computational effort to data geometry. Crucially, we show how {\textsf{UGC}\xspace} increments can be estimated from samples via KL increments along coupled reveal trajectories. This leads to \emph{certified-optimal} samplers that achieve a prescribed KL error with high probability and iteration complexity within a constant factor of the corresponding oracle procedure. Collapsing the \ugc path yields the aggregate {\textsf{UGC}\xspace} mass, which connects to classical multivariate dependence measures and complexity measures from previous analyses of discrete diffusion. In the fine-partition limit, the squared integral of the square-root {\textsf{UGC}\xspace} density determines the sharp leading-order optimal Euler discretization error. Examples exhibit substantial dimension-dependent gains over coarse schedules, including $\widetildeΩ(\sqrt{d})$ improvements achievable with a constant number of adaptively placed blocks.