#01Nov 3, 2026
cs.CL
Suppressing Misaligned Behaviors in Language Models, Durably
Luxi He, Pengcheng Jiang, Jifan Zhang and 2 more
Undesired model behaviors can emerge or re-emerge at any stage of training. Once observed, how effectively can we suppress them? To study this question, we first construct two model organisms--language models deliberately trained to exhibit a specific misalignment--that differ in what triggers the behavior. The narrow-trigger organism misbehaves only when the prompt contains a specific cue: it cheats on multiple-choice questions by following a planted hint that points to a wrong answer, and behaves normally otherwise. The broad-trigger organism has no such cue: after fine-tuning on insecure code, it gives harmful responses across a wide range of open-ended prompts. We then formalize post-hoc behavioral suppression and evaluate methods along three criteria: immediate suppression of the target behavior, durability under further training, and preservation of general capability. We compare standard methods--SFT, GRPO, and gradient-ascent unlearning--along these dimensions. Building on prior work on alignment shallowness, we hypothesize that more durable suppression requires the ability to recover from a wider range of misalignment states. We introduce Prefix-Expanded Adversarial Reinforcement Learning (PEARL), a GRPO variant that augments rollouts with continuations from intermediate states sampled along cached organism trajectories. Across both organism settings and two model families (Qwen3-4B, GPT-OSS-20B), PEARL achieves strong immediate suppression while preserving task accuracy, and remains durable under further fine-tuning on either the organism's data or unrelated data. It obtains the greatest benefit when the undesirable behavior is broad and cannot be addressed through targeted SFT. Together, our framework and method offer a step toward more durable post-hoc removal of undesired behaviors.
#02Nov 3, 2026
cs.CV
PLANTEUR: A Crop-Type Segmentation Benchmark for Tropical Regions
Piper Wolters, Gabriel Tseng, Favyen Bastani and 4 more
We introduce PLANTEUR, a benchmark for crop-type mapping from satellite images in the French overseas territories. Building on the PASTIS design, PLANTEUR provides georeferenced and aligned Sentinel-2, Sentinel-1, and Landsat-8 sequences with parcel-derived labels spanning six tropical regions and an 8-class label space. We define both a standard test split and a leave-one-island-out protocol to measure cross-territory generalization, and evaluate fully supervised models, linear probes, and fine-tuned foundation models. The benchmark code and data are open source and available on GitHub and Hugging Face.
#03Nov 3, 2026
cs.LG
CATF: A Manager-Worker Framework for Context-Aware Time-Series Forecasting
Yueqiao Chen, Dongyu Liu
We study context-aware time-series forecasting, in which a single target variable is predicted from its own history and a set of contextual variables, such as weather and calendar information. As the context becomes more diverse, a single model struggles to capture all of its regimes, while ensemble learning and Mixture-of-Experts approaches rely on manual data partitioning or soft routing, which increases the inference cost and hinders interpretability. We propose CATF, a Context-Aware Time-Series Forecasting framework built on a Manager-Worker architecture: a Transformer-based Manager routes each input to a single Worker based on the context, using hard routing during both training and inference. The Workers thus specialize without manual data partitioning, and any single-model forecaster can serve as a Worker. On five context-rich datasets, four horizons, and two normalization schemes, CATF improves over its standalone counterpart in 162 of 200 comparisons, the best CATF-enhanced model outperforms the best standalone baseline in 19 of 20 settings, and it outperforms the zero-shot Time-MoE foundation model in 15 of 20 settings. A case study on bike-sharing data shows that the Manager routes inputs by the calendar and that each Worker specializes in a different weekly pattern.
#04Nov 3, 2026
eess.SY
Learning curves in natural and artificial systems
Dmitry A. Novikov
A general mathematical model of experience formation is considered, in which the learning level is defined as the probability that the next value of the uncertainty factor has already been mastered and not forgotten. Within this model the shape of the learning curve is derived, and it turns out to be determined primarily by the distribution of situation occurrence: a uniform distribution yields an exponential curve, whereas a power-law distribution yields a power-law curve whose exponent equals the ratio of the distribution exponent to that same exponent increased by one. Both mechanisms generating power-law curves, established earlier in the analysis of debugging, assembly and repair activities, are shown to have been independently rediscovered in deep learning theory as the "frequency" and "spectral" mechanisms of scaling laws for artificial neural networks, while the exponential curves of machine learning (contraction operators, strongly convex optimization, stationary reinforcement) are generated by the same constancy of the contraction coefficient that was revealed half a century earlier in models of radioactive decay, the first-order lag element, and others. A solution is given for the problem of choosing a training distribution that differs from the deployment distribution. A methodological consequence is discussed: three distinct mechanisms generate curves indistinguishable in shape, so an observed learning curve does not allow one to judge the "internal" structure of the learning system.
#05Nov 3, 2026
cs.LG
Post-Inference Model Chaining: A Problem Statement and a Model-based Bootstrap for Training End-to-End Digital Twins
Lukas Madenach, Timo Bailer, Tobias Eilert
End-to-end digital twins can be constructed by fitting separate stage models and connecting them after inference. We investigate the Frequentist prediction properties of a commonly used Monte Carlo simulation scheme that forwards complete predictive draws through such a chain when measured stage outputs contain independent normal errors, but the latent stage means are deterministic. Analytical two-stage examples show persistent asymptotic interval and coverage inflation and, with quadratic propagation, mean bias dependent on the parameters to be estimated. Simulations of four- and eight-stage linear-quadratic univariate chains with 7, 15 or 30 training runs demonstrate pronounced input-dependent distortions. A diagnostic using error-free latent training predictors shows that the effect is mainly not attributable to errors in variables, but to the MCSim approach even showing underestimation of coverage. We propose a model-based bootstrap: an initial chain forwards fitted means, bootstrap chains are refitted on fixed-center bootstrap data while forwarding their mean prediction, and a target-stage future error enters a studentized prediction root. Across the investigated scenarios, relative mean bias is substantially reduced, and coverage is closer to the nominal 90%. At sample size 30, the eight-stage bootstrap has mean width ratios of 1.16-1.42 relative to the known-parameter normal reference, compared with 4.11-4.97 for observed-to-observed MCSim. These results support improved endpoint prediction in the tested setting. Further investigations of the bootstrap scheme in the supplement for a bivariate 6-stage process show similar satisfactory results.