#01Aug 19, 2026
physics.ao-ph
Interpretable AI predicts a 2026 summer dry anomaly in central China
Anran Wang, Wen Shi, Yong Luo and 5 more
Seasonal precipitation anomalies are largely regulated by atmospheric circulation, which dynamical models predict with greater reliability than precipitation itself. Here, we employ a deep learning model that translates dynamical circulation predictions into precipitation estimates. Predictions initialized from March to May consistently indicate a dry anomaly over central China in summer 2026. Retrospective evaluations revealed higher predictive skill in the analogue years, which also tended to feature central equatorial Pacific warming persisting from the preceding winter into summer. This warming favors an anomalous cyclonic circulation over the western North Pacific-South China Sea-South China region, which induces northerly winds and moisture divergence that jointly suppress rainfall over central China. Supporting this mechanism, layer-wise relevance propagation (LRP) independently identifies these northerly winds as the dominant driver of the prediction among all model inputs. Perturbation tests supported this attribution: removing LRP-identified features effectively eliminates the dry anomaly. Our framework thus provides physically interpretable explanations for AI-derived regional climate projections, facilitating evidence-based assessment before observational data become available.
#02Aug 19, 2026
cs.AI
Robust Risk Under Evolving Uncertainty: A Wasserstein Counterpart of the Entropic Value-at-Risk
Deep Kumar Ganguly, Jan Křetínský
An agent still learning its environment should be cautious while ignorant and bold once confident. The entropic value-at-risk captures this through a robust-optimization identity---a confidence level fixes the radius of a relative-entropy ball of alternative models---but that ball cannot reach catastrophes the nominal deems impossible, precisely what a safe agent must hedge. We instead use an optimal-transport ball and study the coherent risk measure it induces, the Wasserstein entropic value-at-risk. It has a variational dual mirroring the entropic formula (an inverse temperature becomes a transport price), occupies a definite place in the risk hierarchy, and provably accounts for the reachable catastrophes the entropic measure ignores; we verify both dualities numerically. Driving the transport radius by belief entropy then yields a closed-form robust dynamic-programming operator whose caution contracts as the belief sharpens, with a certified safety sandwich and a sharp safety switch.
#03Aug 19, 2026
cs.RO
ADEPT: Accelerating Dexterity via Pre-Training and Post-Training using Reinforcement Learning
Jayjun Lee, Jessica Yin, Asif Rana and 7 more
We introduce Accelerating Dexterity via Pre-Training (ADEPT), a large-scale reinforcement learning (RL) framework for learning sim-to-real transferable dexterity across high degree-of-freedom (DoF) robot embodiments that can solve long-horizon tasks directly from raw visuo-tactile perception. ADEPT pretrains a dexterous policy on a generic object reposing task, then post-trains downstream policies with this pretrained behavior as a prior. ADEPT enables learning new behaviors that are otherwise difficult to discover from scratch on multi-fingered robots and avoids learning the same set of skills over again for every new downstream task. The pretrained policy zero-shots the reposing phase of downstream tasks, but naïve RL fine-tuning rapidly degrades this capability during transfer. We address this with a stable post-training recipe combining behavior-cloning distillation, critic warm-up, and conservative on-policy updates. To safely exploit the full kinematic dexterity, we introduce a joint-space Geometric Fabric that mediates between the RL policy and the robot. We distill post-trained teachers into perceptive students that zero-shot sim-to-real transfer on two embodiments: a 23 DoF Kuka-Allegro with two RGB cameras, and a 29 DoF Flexiv-Sharpa with two RGB cameras and five vision-based tactile sensors, and can solve long-horizon tasks from challenging initial states with dexterity at human-level speed.
#04Aug 19, 2026
cs.CV
One-Stage Object Detectors in Autonomous Driving
Jonel Roman, Ryan Sirjue, Peter Nguyen and 3 more
Autonomous vehicles depend on fast and reliable perception systems to detect surrounding vehicles, pedestrians, cyclists, traffic signs, and other road objects in real time. This paper presents a comprehensive survey and analysis of one-stage object detectors for autonomous driving rather than an implementation of a new detection system. The survey reviews the evolution of major one-stage detectors, including YOLOv1, SSD, RetinaNet, EfficientDet, anchor-free detectors such as FCOS and CenterNet, and recent real-time models such as YOLOv10. It compares these architectures through their design choices, feature-fusion strategies, loss functions, deployment trade-offs, and reported benchmark performance. The paper also summarizes commonly used autonomous-driving datasets, evaluation metrics, open challenges, and future research directions. Overall, this survey highlights how one-stage detectors balance speed, accuracy, efficiency, and robustness, while also emphasizing the remaining gap between benchmark results and dependable real-world autonomous-driving performance.
#05Aug 19, 2026
cs.AI
Tuning the Stochastic Machine: A Systems Engineer's Operating Model for Human-AI Engineering
George Andrikopoulos
When an expert corrects an LLM assistant's error, the correction usually dies with the session, and the error class returns. I argue this is an operations problem, not a tooling problem: mechanisms for persisting corrections exist and are shipping, but the discipline for governing them -- versioning with provenance, recurrence monitoring, counter-metrics, retirement of stale rules -- does not. Writing as a systems engineer of thirty years, I map the LLM stack onto the machines my profession already operates (frozen silicon, firmware, loadable modules, persistent configuration, volatile memory), identify where the mapping fails (stochastic generation, configuration that binds only probabilistically, no general-purpose retirement (verification) stage by default), and derive from the failures a seven-principle operating discipline with an error loop at its core. Three cases from my own practice illustrate the mechanism, among them a control that silently became the exact harm it was built to prevent. I close with the measurement framework this view implies and the lab study required to test it.