#01Aug 4, 2026
cs.CL
SocietyBench: Forecasting Counterfactual Social-World Evolution
Zhenran Wang, Zhonghan Bian, Jinsong Li and 1 more
Large language models (LLMs), and the agents built on top of them, are now benchmarked heavily on whether they can finish a task -- fix a bug, drive a browser, operate a GUI. A complementary social ability, namely how well a model understands and forecasts the way real social events unfold, has barely been measured. We introduce SocietyBench, an end-to-end benchmark that takes a one-line event topic, collects Web news and social-media posts across five platforms, distills them into a date-indexed timeline that keeps factual events and a public-opinion layer separate, and then turns every cutoff date on that timeline into an audited bank of forecasting questions. Questions are scored on two orthogonal 100-point axes: probability calibration and temporal accuracy. Before any model sees a timeline, a three-phase procedure replaces every named entity and shifts every date by a per-event constant, turning a real arc into a counterfactual social world -- structurally identical to what happened, but stripped of the surface labels a model could match against pre-training memory. On five heterogeneous events and 125 prediction points in Chinese and English editions, the strongest of six frontier LLMs reaches only 75.0 out of 100, against a trivial anchor of 50. The two axes come apart: a model can be calibration-strong but time-weak, or the reverse. Three agent frameworks built on a shared base model fail to improve on that base, and two model-free heuristics trail every LLM. Per-event gaps reach 21.4 points on a single axis, which is our main argument for evaluating on several events rather than one. All anonymized timelines, question banks, ground truth, and scoring code are released.
#02Aug 4, 2026
cs.LG
A Physics-Flavored Transformer Network for Parametrizing Contraction Dynamics of Engineered Skeletal Muscle Tissues
Mattias Luber, Timo Betz
Engineered Skeletal Muscle Tissues (ESMs) have become a key structure for biomedical disease modeling and pharmacological screening, yet their functional characterization often relies on simplistic metrics like peak force, discarding critical kinetic information. This is partially due to the high level of mathematical complexity which mechanistic models introduce to capture these dynamics. Hence, exactly the complexity prevents scalable application and widespread adaptation in the field. Here we present a Physics-Flavored Neural Network (PFNN) that automates the kinetic phenotyping of ESMs. Our architecture integrates a stretched-exponential physical model into a CNN-Transformer, enabling the extraction of physically meaningful parameters directly from force-time profiles. To address the scarcity of labeled biological data, we employ a hybrid training paradigm: the model develops a "physical intuition" on synthetic data before undergoing unsupervised self-alignment on unlabeled real-world measurements. Our results demonstrate that this physics-flavored approach achieves high-fidelity parameterization across diverse contractile phenotypes and cell lines, including Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy models. Our scalable, self-improving pipeline bridges the gap between idealized biophysics and noisy \emph{in vitro} data, providing a robust tool for high-throughput biophysical research.
#03Aug 4, 2026
cs.CV
Perceptual Anchoring: Prototype-Guided Text Calibration for Training-free Open-Vocabulary Semantic Segmentation
Wanli Ma, Jiangwen Lu, Qinmu Peng and 1 more
Training-free open-vocabulary semantic segmentation (OVSS) partitions an image into semantically distinct regions based on arbitrary text descriptions, without learning any additional parameters. However, existing methods typically focus on improving visual representations while treating text embeddings that encode only generic category concepts as fixed classification references. The resulting semantic gap between these generic concepts and the visual representations that capture the specific appearances of target instances often causes incomplete masks and erroneous predictions in non-target regions. Inspired by the symbol-percept correspondence underlying perceptual anchoring, we propose Prototype-Guided Text Calibration (PTC) for training-free OVSS. In the Perceiving stage, PTC selects reliable visual evidence based on initial matching scores to construct category-specific visual prototypes. In the Anchoring stage, PTC uses these prototypes to calibrate their corresponding text embeddings, with the calibration strength adaptively adjusted based on the amount of visual evidence. Consequently, the calibrated text embeddings align more accurately with instance-specific visual representations while preserving generic category semantics and open-vocabulary generalization. Moreover, PTC requires neither additional training nor external models and can serve as a plug-and-play module for existing methods. Extensive experiments across eight benchmarks show that PTC significantly enhances the performance of six representative methods and yields more complete and accurate segmentation results. These results validate PTC as a simple and effective approach to improving visual-text alignment.
#04Aug 4, 2026
stat.ML
Information-Geometric Forward Policy Training in GFlowNets
Yordan Raykov, Rodrigo Veiga
Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets) have emerged as a flexible framework for amortised inference over discrete and mixed discrete-continuous objects, requiring only an unnormalised target density specified through a reward. In this work, we formulate forward-policy training in GFlowNets through the information geometry of the induced trajectory sampler. Treating the forward policy as an induced trajectory sampler, we show that its intrinsic first-order geometry is given by the Fisher-Rao metric of the trajectory family, and that the associated natural gradient provides the canonical local update whenever the corresponding Fisher information is computable or accurately approximable. We derive an exact decomposition of the trajectory Fisher into per-step conditional second moments, which clarifies when temporal score interactions vanish and when dense couplings remain under shared parameterisation. This leads to three computational regimes: settings with tractable exact Fisher information, settings where Monte Carlo estimators of the expected Fisher are sufficient, and structure-exploitable settings in which target locality or factorisation yields accurate approximations of the Fisher expectation. In the latter case, graphical-model tools such as exact marginalisation, separator methods, and belief propagation provide principled surrogates for natural-gradient updates. The resulting framework turns target structure into optimisation geometry and yields a tractable route to structure-aware forward-policy training in GFlowNets. We illustrate the framework empirically through examples comparing convergence and exploration behaviour under Riemannian and Euclidean optimisation.
#05Aug 4, 2026
cs.CV
Video-DeepResearch: Towards the Next-Generation Multimodal Deepresearch Agent
Zhen Fang, Yu Zeng, Wenxuan Huang and 17 more
We introduce Video-DeepResearch (Video-DR), extending multimodal agents from static images to continuous video streams, a setting that demands dense spatiotemporal grounding coupled with open-web exploration. Preliminary evaluations reveal two critical bottlenecks in current models: (1) modality bias, where agents bypass visual tools in favor of textual search, and (2) parametric knowledge leakage, where models rely on internal memory rather than genuine tool-augmented execution. To address these challenges, we propose Video-DR, featuring a decoupled perception-exploration pipeline with stage-wise tool unlocking that compels exhaustive cross-frame visual grounding prior to web retrieval. Our framework adopts a two-stage training recipe: supervised fine-tuning followed by Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO), enabling autonomous exploration that breaks the imitation-learning ceiling. Furthermore, we curate Video-DR-Bench, a human-AI collaborative benchmark comprising 200 complex, multi-hop VQA instances. Empirical results demonstrate that our Video-DeepResearch-35B-A3B establishes a new state-of-the-art of 64.0% average accuracy, surpassing proprietary Claude-4.5-Sonnet (59.0%) by 5.0 points and significantly outperforming GPT-5 (52.5%) and Gemini 2.5 Pro (57.5%). The 30B-A3B variant achieves 59.3%, competitive with Claude-4.5-Sonnet and demonstrating the effectiveness of our training paradigm even at compact scale. Code: https://github.com/Osilly/Vision-DeepResearch.