#01Jul 16, 2026
cs.LG
Decoding Market Emotion from Blockchain Activity: A Data-Driven Sentiment Classifier
Arthur G. Bubolz, Abreu Quevedo, Giancarlo Lucca and 3 more
The growing use of Bitcoin as a decentralized digital asset and investment tool has sparked strong interest in understanding its market behavior. This study presents a new approach to analyze Bitcoin market sentiment by combining on-chain and financial data with social media posts. Unlike models that aim to predict prices, this work focuses on explaining market sentiment using blockchain transactions, historical price data of Bitcoin, and daily Twitter sentiment classifications. The method merges sentiment trends with on-chain and financial metrics, normalized into a dataset for detailed market analysis. Multiple machine learning models were tested using cross-validation, with Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) emerging as the most reliable model for classifying sentiment, achieving an average F1-score of about 0.84. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations), a game theory-based method for model interpretability, was used to quantify the contribution of on-chain features to the model's predictions, improving transparency. The results indicate that this data combination yields meaningful predictive signals and insights, supporting data-driven cryptocurrency analysis and future improvements with deep learning.
#02Jul 16, 2026
cs.AI
Pretraining Data Can Be Poisoned through Computational Propaganda
Victoria Graf, Hannaneh Hajishirzi, Noah A. Smith and 2 more
Poisoning pretraining data can introduce harmful behaviors to LMs that are difficult to detect and mitigate. Prior work on poisoning pretraining data has largely exploited established data sources such as Wikipedia, which do not represent the large scale and heterogeneity typical of pretraining corpora, and has ignored the interaction between poisoned data and data curation pipelines. We demonstrate that poisoning attacks on pretraining data are feasible beyond this limited setting through an existing web-scale content injection mechanism: public discussion interfaces. Additionally, to measure whether malicious content is included after web crawling and data curation, we introduce HalfLife, a novel analysis for estimating adversarial content inclusion in web-crawl based LM training data. We use HalfLife to explore the feasibility of poisoning pretraining corpora at web scale through open discussion interfaces. Our analysis demonstrates the importance of estimating whether poison injections are included in pretraining data, and establishes third-party webpage content as a possible vector for attacking language model pretraining.
#03Jul 16, 2026
cs.AI
MedFailBench: A Clinician-Built Open-Source Benchmark for Medical AI Safety Boundary Inspection
Goktug Ozkan
Most medical AI benchmarks measure whether a model knows the correct answer. MedFailBench asks a different question: which safety boundary failed? We present a clinician-built synthetic benchmark and failure atlas that labels medical AI errors by severity (1--5) and safety gate type (missed urgent escalation, unsafe remote dosing, unsafe discharge reassurance, evidence fabrication, unsafe protocol execution, source support gap). The current public release (v0.2.1) contains 44 clinician-reviewed synthetic cases with severity annotations, a live HuggingFace leaderboard preview, a safety gate taxonomy, a clinical severity rubric, and an automated pipeline for archiving model-response screening runs. No patient data, clinical validation claims, or model rankings are included. MedFailBench is released under Apache-2.0 and CC-BY-4.0 and carries the Zenodo DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21205535.
#04Jul 16, 2026
cs.CV
MeanFlowNFT: Bringing Forward-Process RL to Average-Velocity Generators
Yushi Huang, Xiangxin Zhou, Jun Zhang and 2 more
MeanFlow generators achieve fast few-step sampling by predicting average velocities over time intervals, making them attractive for efficient generation. Reinforcement learning (RL) has become a powerful way to align diffusion and flow models with human preferences and task-specific objectives. In particular, DiffusionNFT offers an efficient forward-process RL framework that does not require reverse-process trajectories or likelihood estimation. However, applying such RL methods to MeanFlow remains underexplored. DiffusionNFT optimizes instantaneous velocities, whereas MeanFlow samples with average velocities. To bridge this gap, we introduce MeanFlowNFT. Inspired by the MeanFlow identity, which bridges average and instantaneous velocities, we construct an induced instantaneous-velocity predictor. We apply the DiffusionNFT objective to this predictor, making reward optimization well-defined for MeanFlow. Sampling remains based on the average velocity, preserving MeanFlow's fast few-step generation. We further prove that MeanFlowNFT inherits DiffusionNFT's strict policy-improvement guarantee. Experiments on image and video generation show that MeanFlowNFT consistently improves baselines. Moreover, it outperforms prior state-of-the-art RL-tuned few-step generators on most metrics ($6$ of $8$ on SD3.5-M), and can even surpass multi-step RL-tuned diffusion while using only a few sampling steps. For instance, on Wan 2.1, $4$-step MeanFlowNFT reaches a VBench score of $84.33$, surpassing $50$-step LongCat-Video RL ($82.57$).
#05Jul 16, 2026
cs.CV
Symbal: Detecting Systematic Misalignments in Model-Generated Captions
Maya Varma, Jean-Benoit Delbrouck, Sophie Ostmeier and 2 more
Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) often introduce errors when generating image captions, resulting in misaligned image-text pairs. Our work focuses on a class of captioning errors that we refer to as systematic misalignments, where a recurring error in MLLM-generated captions is closely associated with the presence of a specific visual feature in the paired image. Given a vision-language dataset with MLLM-generated captions, our aim in this work is to detect such errors, a task we refer to as systematic misalignment detection. As our first key contribution, we present Symbal, which utilizes a structured, dual-stage setup with off-the-shelf foundation models to identify systematic misalignments and summarize results in natural language. As our second key contribution, we introduce SymbalBench, a benchmark designed to evaluate automated methods on our proposed task. SymbalBench consists of 1.7 million image-text pairs from two domains (natural and medical images), organized into 420 vision-language datasets with annotated systematic misalignments. Symbal exhibits strong performance on this benchmark, correctly identifying systematic misalignments in 63.8% of datasets, a nearly 4x improvement over the closest baseline. We supplement our evaluations on SymbalBench with real-world evaluations, showing that (1) Symbal can accurately surface systematic misalignments in captions generated by four MLLMs and (2) Symbal is a powerful tool for auditing off-the-shelf image-caption datasets. Ultimately, our novel task, method, and benchmark can aid users with auditing MLLM-generated captions and identifying critical errors, without requiring access to the underlying MLLM. Code is available at https://github.com/Stanford-AIMI/Symbal.